Andrew Wilkinson✓

@awilkinson

Co-founder of Tiny w/ @_Sparling_. We own @Metalab, @Serato, @Letterboxd, @AeroPress, and 35+ other wonderful companies. Author of Never Enough.

4K Seguiti392K Follower21.6K Post
  1. Andrew Wilkinson✓@awilkinson
    Having money doesn't help you make you friends. It does the opposite: it isolates you. This is my favorite podcast I've ever done. It's a deep dive with my pal @JaysonGaignard on how to build authentic friendship and community. Real friends, not deal friends. Watch here:
    Scarica
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  2. Andrew Wilkinson✓@awilkinson
    Agree
    Dick Lucas 🇺🇸 @dickclucas
    If you pay $35k for a vehicle and it doesn’t drive itself you have failed the iq test and put your family at risk.
    818615.9K
  3. Dick Lucas 🇺🇸✓@dickclucas
    If you pay $35k for a vehicle and it doesn’t drive itself you have failed the iq test and put your family at risk.
    Scarica
    101961.5K75K
  4. Andrew Wilkinson✓@awilkinson
    Omfg. I accidentally left ultrafast running on a few big tasks. $57,000 OpenAI bill this month.
    18412843139K
  5. Andrew Wilkinson✓@awilkinson
    Andrew Wilkinson
    RT @KashRamki: Yes, but only temporarily. No stranded power and no newer gen GPU is going to go unused for long, in today’s market. One should expect greater market inefficiency on the front end of the AI buildout. For certainty, this isn’t going to be the case of China building ghost cities. Our capital markets cannot sustain that for long. If fact, you should expect the opposite. Unlike in China, US public sector debt is a tax on datacenters today thanks their crowing out effect in the credit markets.
    Elon Musk @elonmusk
    @Yuchenj_UW I think we’re going to see a lot of stranded compute in partially complete data centers
    0401.9K
  6. Elon Musk✓@elonmusk
    Post @Yuchenj_UW
    @Yuchenj_UW I think we’re going to see a lot of stranded compute in partially complete data centers
    1K80715K5.9M
  7. Andrew Wilkinson✓@awilkinson
    Andrew Wilkinson
    RT @KashRamki: Here's what @elonmusk misses with his most recent comments about neo-clouds being doomed. Thanks to his recent Anthropic deal, which is the first of many such upward rerates of $/GPUhr, every neo-cloud is set to thrive if they can get the power. Projects with certainty of power will remain well funded.
    Kash @KashRamki
    Here is the interesting calculus for $NUAI: Wider credit spreads for neoclouds make financing harder but not impossible. What if neoclouds’ historical contracts are well below spot? And if the only way to improve their credit rating is developing more compute and selling today at high spot rates? And what if their (and the DC developer’s) credit ratings respond instantly and favourable to new compute they bring online? That’s exactly what’s happening and the same is true for frontier labs. Those with vast amounts of power have all the leverage. Neoclouds/frontier labs should pay high lease rates because power is scarce and is the panacea for what ails them. Here are the resulting economics for $NUAI and $IREN: they can contract at high rates reflecting high counterparty credit risk on day zero, then instantly refinance at lower cost of capital as risk drops—insane margins for the DC owner. Said another way, these CDS spikes are a boon for DC developers because it’s heightens the demand for power. For the right projects like TCDC, ample tenant demand and liquidity exist. Don’t overthink it.
    01001.8K
  8. Kash✓@KashRamki
    Here is the interesting calculus for $NUAI: Wider credit spreads for neoclouds make financing harder but not impossible. What if neoclouds’ historical contracts are well below spot? And if the only way to improve their credit rating is developing more compute and selling today at high spot rates? And what if their (and the DC developer’s) credit ratings respond instantly and favourable to new compute they bring online? That’s exactly what’s happening and the same is true for frontier labs. Those with vast amounts of power have all the leverage. Neoclouds/frontier labs should pay high lease rates because power is scarce and is the panacea for what ails them. Here are the resulting economics for $NUAI and $IREN: they can contract at high rates reflecting high counterparty credit risk on day zero, then instantly refinance at lower cost of capital as risk drops—insane margins for the DC owner. Said another way, these CDS spikes are a boon for DC developers because it’s heightens the demand for power. For the right projects like TCDC, ample tenant demand and liquidity exist. Don’t overthink it.
    15109819.2K
  9. Andrew Wilkinson✓@awilkinson
    Andrew Wilkinson
    RT @KashRamki: I spend a lot of time in the private markets, and the recent madness around financing challenges for DCs and neoclouds is pure FUD. Yes, there is a shortage of traditional lender capital, but many pristine balance sheets in Silicon Valley, elsewhere, and across sectors have strong incentives to participate and fill that void. AI is a moment when everything as we knew it changes. Every single business… in every single sector… across every P&L line item… will be profoundly impacted… by this new god-like capability. Every balance sheet in the world will contribute to AI development over time, and AI datacenters benefit because of their lock on power. So why the debt scare? The datacenter/neocloud market is being crowded out by public sector debt issuance. If you agree with my earlier proclamation about AI affecting everything, private sector enterprises will contribute their balance sheets to AI development in two ways: 1) As the next source of debt/equity financing for DC developers and compute providers (probably not voluntarily), thereby lowering DC cost of capital; and/or 2) By consuming tokens far faster than supply, raising $/GPUhr for compute and lease rates for DCs. Path 1, lowing the cost of capital, seems logical, but massive public sector debt woes will keep financing costs elevated for a long time, making path 2 equally a necessity: Higher debt/equity rates are offset by higher DC lease rates. Higher lease rates are offset by higher $/GPUhr or a larger share of those $/GPUhr economics. In an expanding TAM, prices rise quickly as demand outstrips supply. If AI’s TAM is expanding, $/GPUhr should be high, right? Sort of. It’s a tale of two cities: the haves and the have-nots. Most of today’s AI economics (outside GPU makers) go to the incumbents: hyperscalers. They have large, highly creditworthy balance sheets from decades of capital-light models, diverse and growing revenue, and strong margins, serving the world’s largest and successful enterprises. Hyperscalers are the most trusted providers of enterprise-grade/scale compute—an expertise built over decades. Neoclouds, on the other hand, must build a balance sheet from scratch with creative financing, only to serve the hyperscalers’ leftover TAM, and all for a new commodity (compute tokens) whose value is not yet established. No wonder neoclouds live on a razor’s edge: supernormal revenue growth fueled by equal or greater capex, hoping commodity prices soon make investors very happy. I call it “a dream business (to short).” But wait—there’s more. In a nascent, rapidly evolving commodity market, large pricing inefficiencies arise from swings between oversupply - think $CRWV in 2024–2025 bringing large compute online for what was only a handful of large buyers at the time - and undersupply when many buyers enter at (what feels like) all at once (Jevons’ paradox accelerating). Buyers and sellers are constantly left wonder g who holds the negotiating power in these conversations. Things eventually stabilize, with better matching of land, power, talent, construction, procurement, GPUs, compute, financing, buyers/sellers of stabilized assets, used GPUs, and more. Then $/GPUhr accelerates (as long as TAM grows). The most recent compute pricing charts suggest we might be there now. If so, neoclouds are here to stay. The strong ones will grow fast; the weak get acquired and their old contracts renegotiated to much higher current rates. A much healthier ecosystem overall. But remember this: Be it the hyperscalers of the neoclouds, the DC developer always makes bank! $NUAI $IREN
    02701.9K
  10. Andrew Wilkinson✓@awilkinson
    Claude and ChatGPT plugins are the death of software. 1. Integrate your software into their interface 2. Get everyone used to using it in that way (because it’s a better experience). 3. Eventually cut you out of the equation. CapCut doesn’t need to exist 😂 It’s an interface for something that doesn’t need an interface anymore. Lambs to the slaughter. They are going to eat effectively all software this way. And APIs aren’t going to save everyone. APIs are just software that computers use.
    CapCut @capcutapp
    We’re excited to announce our new CapCut plugin is coming soon to @ChatGPT at CapCutWorldLA. The plugin brings CapCut's video editing and generation tools alongside ChatGPT. You can start with an idea in ChatGPT, bring it to life with the CapCut plugin right inside ChatGPT, then take your draft video to CapCut's web editor to refine, share and publish. By bringing the CapCut product you already love and use in ChatGPT, we're making content creation more seamless and efficient.
    661020735.2K
  11. CapCut✓@capcutapp
    We’re excited to announce our new CapCut plugin is coming soon to @ChatGPT at CapCutWorldLA. The plugin brings CapCut's video editing and generation tools alongside ChatGPT. You can start with an idea in ChatGPT, bring it to life with the CapCut plugin right inside ChatGPT, then take your draft video to CapCut's web editor to refine, share and publish. By bringing the CapCut product you already love and use in ChatGPT, we're making content creation more seamless and efficient.
    Scarica
    8628367.9K1.5M
  12. Andrew Wilkinson✓@awilkinson
    The market doesn’t seem to understand that a feature is not a sustainable competitive advantage. It never was, but now more than ever.
    4148630.7K
  13. Andrew Wilkinson✓@awilkinson
    Update: within 24 hours I was desperate to be back on my 18 Pro. I wish they had just shipped a folding, pocketable iPad Mini.
    Andrew Wilkinson @awilkinson
    I actually really like my iPhone Duo, but the lack of Face ID is absolutely killing me.
    766632120K
  14. Andrew Wilkinson✓@awilkinson
    I actually really like my iPhone Duo, but the lack of Face ID is absolutely killing me.
    442172157K
  15. Andrew Wilkinson✓@awilkinson
    Nerds: what's the verdict on the iPhone Duo? 👀 I get mine in 3 hours.
    690114152K
  16. Andrew Wilkinson✓@awilkinson
    Do you have a brain disorder too? 30% of entrepreneurs do.
    Andrew Wilkinson @awilkinson
    I recently got diagnosed with a brain disorder. On average, it shortens life expectancy by 7–9 years. If you're an entrepreneur, there's a high likelihood that you might have it too. Here's what I discovered… 🧵 "Your working memory is in the twentieth percentile," the neurologist told me, studying her charts from the battery of cognitive tests that my doctor had requested. I have APOE4, the Alzheimer's risk gene, and he felt it was important to track my memory over time. My palms started tingling. Was this how it started? Today, you're forgetting where you put your keys, tomorrow you're forgetting your own name and shuffling around in a hospital gown. "But your crystallized intelligence," she continued, "is solid." I felt my guts relax. "That's good, right?" She explained, "If your brain were a computer, working memory would be its RAM. It temporarily holds and processes information, like remembering a phone number long enough to dial it or doing mental math. Yours is way below average—imagine trying to juggle while holding only two balls when most people can handle four." "On the other hand," she went on, "your crystallized intelligence is like your mental library—everything you've learned, the skills, facts, and experiences you've accumulated. That part of your brain is above average." Her assessment rang true. I could barely remember a simple grocery list without spacing. "You might want to get tested for ADHD," she suggested. "Poor working memory is often indicative of some form of ADHD." I left the appointment feeling unsettled. Something about it didn't sit right—there was no way I had ADHD. I had always struggled with anxiety, but I'd never struggled with focus. I'd noticed the endless stream of TikTok videos and social media posts about adult ADHD diagnoses and rolled my eyes. It had become the explanation for everything—another mental health meme where everyone thought they had the disorder. I'd always been proud of my ability to power through work, tick off to-do lists, and juggle multiple projects. If anything, I saw myself as productive and organized—traits that seemed at odds with having ADHD. I had dismissed it as overhyped. A diagnosis given out too freely, especially in regards to the growing number of kids being prescribed amphetamine drugs. While I was skeptical, I spent the next afternoon deep-diving into ADHD. As I read, my skepticism began to evaporate and I started to feel like an asshole... The first thing that struck me was how quantifiable it was. I learned that scientists can literally see a difference in the brains of people with ADHD on MRI scans and that ADHD brains even grow more slowly. Reaching their peak thickness three years later than their peers in regions controlling attention and motor planning. Three years. That's the difference between starting high school and getting your driver's license. I couldn't deny it anymore—ADHD was as real as any other medical condition. I was reminded of how my parents' generation had scoffed at the idea of "anxiety" and "depression" and their fears that everyone was popping Prozac to avoid dealing with the reality of life. Was this just the modern equivalent? Was I, just like 90’s boomers, a mental health bigot? As I dug deeper, I discovered that ADHD isn't just visible in brain structure—it's fundamentally written into our genetics. According to a study in Nature Genetics, ADHD is up to 88% heritable (even more than height!), making it one of the most inherited psychiatric conditions out there. If you have it, there's a near certainty that one of your parents does too. Reading this, my thoughts turned to my father: his constant forgetfulness, his impulsive purchases, his encyclopedic knowledge of random topics paired with an uncanny ability to tune out or forget whatever everyone else deemed important. I wondered if he might have ADHD too. For years, I'd treated what I thought was just anxiety with an SSRI (vortioxetine), and while it helped a ton, that frantic, life-on-fire feeling of being overwhelmed had never really gone away. Studies show why: up to 50% of adults with ADHD also have anxiety disorders, suggesting what I thought was just anxiety might have been masking a deeper neurological difference. I was shocked to learn that ADHD's downsides extended far beyond distraction. Untreated, it has profound effects on those who have it, to the point where it can shorten their lives by almost a decade. A 2015 Lancet study found that people with untreated ADHD die, on average, 9.5 years earlier than their peers. Not from the condition itself, but from its cascade of negative effects: accidents, impulsive decisions, and self-medication. Research shows adults with ADHD are also five times more likely to develop substance use disorders, with up to 25% struggling with drug or alcohol addiction. Suddenly, my five nights per week of partying and binge drinking throughout my twenties made a lot more sense—the only way I could relax during the stressful ramp-up of my businesses. Self-medication. I also thought of the rampant drug and alcohol abuse in my extended family. Sure, this wasn’t a blanket explanation, but if what I was reading was true, there were likely a few family members who had untreated ADHD and had instead turned to drugs and alcohol, destroying their lives in the process. Yet there's hope: studies show that stimulant medication works in 70–80% of cases, making it one of the most effective psychiatric treatments across any illness. A Swedish study of over 38,000 individuals with ADHD found that stimulant medication reduced substance abuse rates by 31% compared to those not taking medication. The protective effect was even stronger in younger patients, with those 15 and under showing a 62% lower rate of substance abuse. Fortunately, many patients who start taking stimulants as children respond so well they eventually stop needing medication by adulthood—the medication potentially rewiring their brains. My concerns about treating children disappeared. This now seemed like a critical intervention. But here's where the story takes an unexpected turn. It’s not all bad news—in fact, in many ways, ADHD can be a gift. While ADHD can be challenging in traditional settings, these same traits can become surprising advantages in the right context. A recent study found that 27% of entrepreneurs have ADHD traits—three times the rate in the general population. This includes some of the most successful business leaders: Richard Branson has been open about his ADHD diagnosis, crediting it for his creative thinking and risk-taking ability. JetBlue founder David Neeleman has described how ADHD helped him see opportunities others missed, while IKEA founder Ingvar Kamprad used his ADHD traits to build one of the world's largest furniture companies. It makes a lot of sense. The very traits that make traditional jobs challenging become superpowers in entrepreneurship: a tendency to see the big picture while delegating details, the ability to hyperfocus intensely on whatever interests us, a knack for building systems to compensate for our weaknesses. Even our social tendencies—the constant need to connect, share, and build relationships—create powerful networks that drive business success. The entrepreneurial world, with its constant change and need for adaptability, seems almost perfectly designed for minds that thrive on novelty and creative problem-solving. ADHD may represent an evolutionary advantage that's mismatched with modern life. Some researchers propose these traits helped our ancestors excel at hunting—where heightened awareness of movement, quick reactions, and constant environmental scanning were crucial survival skills. As Thom Hartmann puts it: "The hunter is easily distracted by movement and sound—traits that make them exceptional at tracking prey but challenging in today's structured environments." This perspective helps explain why ADHD traits correlate with entrepreneurial success. Both hunting and building businesses reward adaptability, quick pattern recognition, and comfort with uncertainty. It's as if the business world had accidentally created the perfect environment for minds that don't fit the conventional mold. Suddenly, my own career path made a different kind of sense. As I read all this, it was like watching dominoes fall in slow motion—each symptom clicking into place, each pattern revealing itself with almost painful clarity. I realized the intricate web of systems I'd built wasn't just about being organized—it was a coping mechanism. I'd become obsessed with David Allen's Getting Things Done productivity system, spending hours maintaining its complex organization system. My phone was filled with thousands of Siri reminders shouted while driving, desperately trying to capture the stream of urgent thoughts racing through my brain before they vanished like smoke. I needed these systems because without them, important tasks would slip through the cracks of my unreliable working memory. Every notification, every color-coded calendar entry, every obsessively maintained checklist was compensation for what my brain couldn't do naturally. Reading about how ADHD plays out in romantic relationships and family life, I recognized myself. Someone who would drift off during intimate conversations with my partner, yet could spend hours intensely focused on unrelated projects. Forgetting commitments and neglecting agreed upon chores. I felt that I was a loving and supportive partner in many ways, but these seemingly basic aspects of home life felt inexplicably challenging. These challenges weren't limited to relationships. My work life prior to starting my company was equally difficult. I couldn't stick to the same routine tasks day in and day out and frequently jumped from job to job, impulsively quitting and moving on, sometimes without notice because I couldn't bear the idea of showing up to work another day. So in 2006, driven more by desperation than inspiration, I started my first business. Over the next five years, I impulsively launched ten separate companies, attempting to be the CEO of all of them at once. As you can imagine, this failed spectacularly. It wasn't until 2014 that I finally found my groove: buying great companies and hiring wonderful CEOs (who don't have ADHD) to run them. My inability to handle details didn't leave me any choice but to embrace delegation. While many entrepreneurs struggled to let go of tasks, I had the luxury of being absolutely terrible at them from the start. My habit of getting obsessed with random parts of the business meant I'd go super deep on M&A for a few weeks, suddenly get bored, then jump to product, then marketing—basically whatever shiny object caught my attention that week. This scattered approach somehow worked in my favor—being an inch deep and a mile wide on every part of the business turned out to be exactly what a CEO needed to be. Then there was my insatiable need to meet new people and socialize—often the most immediately rewarding part of my day, a reliable hit of dopamine. I'd strike up conversations with anyone, everywhere. Not so much networking as a complete failure to hold my cards close to my chest. This chronic oversharing somehow worked in my favor. When problems came up, I usually knew someone who could help. Within a matter of weeks, I had booked a formal diagnosis, and a month later, my neurologist's suspicions were confirmed: I had inattentive ADHD. They recommended a stimulant, and one day I buckled up and took Vyvanse. It was transformative in a way I never expected. The most surprising thing was the quiet. My brain previously felt like Times Square at New Year's, hundreds of thoughts competing for attention at once. On Vyvanse, it was more like a library. One thought at a time, each one getting its proper attention before moving to the next. Imagine living your whole life with a radio playing static in your head, and then someone finally shows you where the 'off' switch is. That feeling of being overwhelmed by midday, like hitting an invisible cognitive wall—vanished. Since I started treatment, for the first time in my life, I feel calm, focused, and present. I'm sharing all this because for years, I felt kind of broken. Like I was constantly letting everyone down. Sure, I'd found ways to cope—building a business where I could delegate all the things I was terrible at, engineering a scaffolding of to-do lists and reminders, and surrounding myself with amazing people who could handle what I couldn't. But that strategy falls apart in your personal life. You can't delegate being a dad, or a partner, or a friend. Those relationships require consistency, attention to detail, being present—exactly the things ADHD makes so challenging. The impact on family life has also been notable. Before, by dinner time, my mental energy would be completely depleted. I'd be there physically, but mentally checked out, running on empty after a day of trying to keep it all together. Now I can follow a bedtime story without my mind wandering off to work emails, or sit through a family dinner without yawning or zoning out. The day I first took medication, all I kept thinking was that I wish I'd been taking this my whole life, or at the very least, before my kids were born. All this is to say, getting diagnosed has been transformative for me. Like discovering the long-lost manual to my brain and realizing I've been using it wrong this whole time. I wanted to share in hopes that someone like me—who's struggling but has never thought about ADHD—might read this, see themselves in it, and seek treatment themselves. If you're reading this and any of it sounds familiar, I'd recommend checking out The ADHD Effect on Marriage by Melissa Orlov and Dr. Russell Barkley's excellent book, Taking Charge of Adult ADHD. Both were super helpful in figuring this out. And if you're listening to some of this and nodding along, thinking you might have it too, you could try prompting ChatGPT with this prompt to suss it out: Act as a clinician conducting a pre-assessment for ADHD. Ask me structured, clinically relevant questions to explore my symptoms, history, and their impact on my life. Cover: core symptoms (inattention, hyperactivity, impulsivity), their effect on daily life (work, relationships, self-care), medical and family history, lifestyle factors (sleep, diet, stress), coping strategies, and how long symptoms have persisted. Summarize my responses into a professional document I can share with a clinician. You should also watch the excellent YouTube video on diagnosis by Russel Barklay, which I link in the thread below. Of course, ChatGPT can't diagnose you, but it can give you a sense if maybe it's something to look into. There are tons of telehealth pill-mills that ask you ten questions then rubber stamp you a lifetime prescription of stimulants—you should avoid those. I think it's worth doing a full assessment, which is a multi-hour process that includes qualitative and quantitative testing. I got diagnosed at Resilient Health in Victoria and was impressed by how thorough they were. The assessment wasn't some quick DSM checklist. It was a comprehensive process involving interviews with me, as well as Zoe and my family, coupled with extensive attention and memory tests. It took about six hours altogether, and at the end I had a detailed document explaining both my ADHD diagnosis and my overall psychological profile. And if you're curious about brain health in general—something almost nobody seems to assess outside of my extreme health nerd friends—the neurologist who identified this for me was Dr. Kellyann Niotis. She's amazing, and I highly recommend checking her out, ADHD or not. Do you have ADHD too? I'm keen to hear your thoughts and experiences. I’m only a few months into navigating this, so I have much to learn :-) I've posted a list of links to the various studies, podcasts, YouTube videos, and books I've found helpful in the thread below 👇
    1904443K
  17. Andrew Wilkinson✓@awilkinson
    I recently got diagnosed with a brain disorder. On average, it shortens life expectancy by 7–9 years. If you're an entrepreneur, there's a high likelihood that you might have it too. Here's what I discovered… 🧵 "Your working memory is in the twentieth percentile," the neurologist told me, studying her charts from the battery of cognitive tests that my doctor had requested. I have APOE4, the Alzheimer's risk gene, and he felt it was important to track my memory over time. My palms started tingling. Was this how it started? Today, you're forgetting where you put your keys, tomorrow you're forgetting your own name and shuffling around in a hospital gown. "But your crystallized intelligence," she continued, "is solid." I felt my guts relax. "That's good, right?" She explained, "If your brain were a computer, working memory would be its RAM. It temporarily holds and processes information, like remembering a phone number long enough to dial it or doing mental math. Yours is way below average—imagine trying to juggle while holding only two balls when most people can handle four." "On the other hand," she went on, "your crystallized intelligence is like your mental library—everything you've learned, the skills, facts, and experiences you've accumulated. That part of your brain is above average." Her assessment rang true. I could barely remember a simple grocery list without spacing. "You might want to get tested for ADHD," she suggested. "Poor working memory is often indicative of some form of ADHD." I left the appointment feeling unsettled. Something about it didn't sit right—there was no way I had ADHD. I had always struggled with anxiety, but I'd never struggled with focus. I'd noticed the endless stream of TikTok videos and social media posts about adult ADHD diagnoses and rolled my eyes. It had become the explanation for everything—another mental health meme where everyone thought they had the disorder. I'd always been proud of my ability to power through work, tick off to-do lists, and juggle multiple projects. If anything, I saw myself as productive and organized—traits that seemed at odds with having ADHD. I had dismissed it as overhyped. A diagnosis given out too freely, especially in regards to the growing number of kids being prescribed amphetamine drugs. While I was skeptical, I spent the next afternoon deep-diving into ADHD. As I read, my skepticism began to evaporate and I started to feel like an asshole... The first thing that struck me was how quantifiable it was. I learned that scientists can literally see a difference in the brains of people with ADHD on MRI scans and that ADHD brains even grow more slowly. Reaching their peak thickness three years later than their peers in regions controlling attention and motor planning. Three years. That's the difference between starting high school and getting your driver's license. I couldn't deny it anymore—ADHD was as real as any other medical condition. I was reminded of how my parents' generation had scoffed at the idea of "anxiety" and "depression" and their fears that everyone was popping Prozac to avoid dealing with the reality of life. Was this just the modern equivalent? Was I, just like 90’s boomers, a mental health bigot? As I dug deeper, I discovered that ADHD isn't just visible in brain structure—it's fundamentally written into our genetics. According to a study in Nature Genetics, ADHD is up to 88% heritable (even more than height!), making it one of the most inherited psychiatric conditions out there. If you have it, there's a near certainty that one of your parents does too. Reading this, my thoughts turned to my father: his constant forgetfulness, his impulsive purchases, his encyclopedic knowledge of random topics paired with an uncanny ability to tune out or forget whatever everyone else deemed important. I wondered if he might have ADHD too. For years, I'd treated what I thought was just anxiety with an SSRI (vortioxetine), and while it helped a ton, that frantic, life-on-fire feeling of being overwhelmed had never really gone away. Studies show why: up to 50% of adults with ADHD also have anxiety disorders, suggesting what I thought was just anxiety might have been masking a deeper neurological difference. I was shocked to learn that ADHD's downsides extended far beyond distraction. Untreated, it has profound effects on those who have it, to the point where it can shorten their lives by almost a decade. A 2015 Lancet study found that people with untreated ADHD die, on average, 9.5 years earlier than their peers. Not from the condition itself, but from its cascade of negative effects: accidents, impulsive decisions, and self-medication. Research shows adults with ADHD are also five times more likely to develop substance use disorders, with up to 25% struggling with drug or alcohol addiction. Suddenly, my five nights per week of partying and binge drinking throughout my twenties made a lot more sense—the only way I could relax during the stressful ramp-up of my businesses. Self-medication. I also thought of the rampant drug and alcohol abuse in my extended family. Sure, this wasn’t a blanket explanation, but if what I was reading was true, there were likely a few family members who had untreated ADHD and had instead turned to drugs and alcohol, destroying their lives in the process. Yet there's hope: studies show that stimulant medication works in 70–80% of cases, making it one of the most effective psychiatric treatments across any illness. A Swedish study of over 38,000 individuals with ADHD found that stimulant medication reduced substance abuse rates by 31% compared to those not taking medication. The protective effect was even stronger in younger patients, with those 15 and under showing a 62% lower rate of substance abuse. Fortunately, many patients who start taking stimulants as children respond so well they eventually stop needing medication by adulthood—the medication potentially rewiring their brains. My concerns about treating children disappeared. This now seemed like a critical intervention. But here's where the story takes an unexpected turn. It’s not all bad news—in fact, in many ways, ADHD can be a gift. While ADHD can be challenging in traditional settings, these same traits can become surprising advantages in the right context. A recent study found that 27% of entrepreneurs have ADHD traits—three times the rate in the general population. This includes some of the most successful business leaders: Richard Branson has been open about his ADHD diagnosis, crediting it for his creative thinking and risk-taking ability. JetBlue founder David Neeleman has described how ADHD helped him see opportunities others missed, while IKEA founder Ingvar Kamprad used his ADHD traits to build one of the world's largest furniture companies. It makes a lot of sense. The very traits that make traditional jobs challenging become superpowers in entrepreneurship: a tendency to see the big picture while delegating details, the ability to hyperfocus intensely on whatever interests us, a knack for building systems to compensate for our weaknesses. Even our social tendencies—the constant need to connect, share, and build relationships—create powerful networks that drive business success. The entrepreneurial world, with its constant change and need for adaptability, seems almost perfectly designed for minds that thrive on novelty and creative problem-solving. ADHD may represent an evolutionary advantage that's mismatched with modern life. Some researchers propose these traits helped our ancestors excel at hunting—where heightened awareness of movement, quick reactions, and constant environmental scanning were crucial survival skills. As Thom Hartmann puts it: "The hunter is easily distracted by movement and sound—traits that make them exceptional at tracking prey but challenging in today's structured environments." This perspective helps explain why ADHD traits correlate with entrepreneurial success. Both hunting and building businesses reward adaptability, quick pattern recognition, and comfort with uncertainty. It's as if the business world had accidentally created the perfect environment for minds that don't fit the conventional mold. Suddenly, my own career path made a different kind of sense. As I read all this, it was like watching dominoes fall in slow motion—each symptom clicking into place, each pattern revealing itself with almost painful clarity. I realized the intricate web of systems I'd built wasn't just about being organized—it was a coping mechanism. I'd become obsessed with David Allen's Getting Things Done productivity system, spending hours maintaining its complex organization system. My phone was filled with thousands of Siri reminders shouted while driving, desperately trying to capture the stream of urgent thoughts racing through my brain before they vanished like smoke. I needed these systems because without them, important tasks would slip through the cracks of my unreliable working memory. Every notification, every color-coded calendar entry, every obsessively maintained checklist was compensation for what my brain couldn't do naturally. Reading about how ADHD plays out in romantic relationships and family life, I recognized myself. Someone who would drift off during intimate conversations with my partner, yet could spend hours intensely focused on unrelated projects. Forgetting commitments and neglecting agreed upon chores. I felt that I was a loving and supportive partner in many ways, but these seemingly basic aspects of home life felt inexplicably challenging. These challenges weren't limited to relationships. My work life prior to starting my company was equally difficult. I couldn't stick to the same routine tasks day in and day out and frequently jumped from job to job, impulsively quitting and moving on, sometimes without notice because I couldn't bear the idea of showing up to work another day. So in 2006, driven more by desperation than inspiration, I started my first business. Over the next five years, I impulsively launched ten separate companies, attempting to be the CEO of all of them at once. As you can imagine, this failed spectacularly. It wasn't until 2014 that I finally found my groove: buying great companies and hiring wonderful CEOs (who don't have ADHD) to run them. My inability to handle details didn't leave me any choice but to embrace delegation. While many entrepreneurs struggled to let go of tasks, I had the luxury of being absolutely terrible at them from the start. My habit of getting obsessed with random parts of the business meant I'd go super deep on M&A for a few weeks, suddenly get bored, then jump to product, then marketing—basically whatever shiny object caught my attention that week. This scattered approach somehow worked in my favor—being an inch deep and a mile wide on every part of the business turned out to be exactly what a CEO needed to be. Then there was my insatiable need to meet new people and socialize—often the most immediately rewarding part of my day, a reliable hit of dopamine. I'd strike up conversations with anyone, everywhere. Not so much networking as a complete failure to hold my cards close to my chest. This chronic oversharing somehow worked in my favor. When problems came up, I usually knew someone who could help. Within a matter of weeks, I had booked a formal diagnosis, and a month later, my neurologist's suspicions were confirmed: I had inattentive ADHD. They recommended a stimulant, and one day I buckled up and took Vyvanse. It was transformative in a way I never expected. The most surprising thing was the quiet. My brain previously felt like Times Square at New Year's, hundreds of thoughts competing for attention at once. On Vyvanse, it was more like a library. One thought at a time, each one getting its proper attention before moving to the next. Imagine living your whole life with a radio playing static in your head, and then someone finally shows you where the 'off' switch is. That feeling of being overwhelmed by midday, like hitting an invisible cognitive wall—vanished. Since I started treatment, for the first time in my life, I feel calm, focused, and present. I'm sharing all this because for years, I felt kind of broken. Like I was constantly letting everyone down. Sure, I'd found ways to cope—building a business where I could delegate all the things I was terrible at, engineering a scaffolding of to-do lists and reminders, and surrounding myself with amazing people who could handle what I couldn't. But that strategy falls apart in your personal life. You can't delegate being a dad, or a partner, or a friend. Those relationships require consistency, attention to detail, being present—exactly the things ADHD makes so challenging. The impact on family life has also been notable. Before, by dinner time, my mental energy would be completely depleted. I'd be there physically, but mentally checked out, running on empty after a day of trying to keep it all together. Now I can follow a bedtime story without my mind wandering off to work emails, or sit through a family dinner without yawning or zoning out. The day I first took medication, all I kept thinking was that I wish I'd been taking this my whole life, or at the very least, before my kids were born. All this is to say, getting diagnosed has been transformative for me. Like discovering the long-lost manual to my brain and realizing I've been using it wrong this whole time. I wanted to share in hopes that someone like me—who's struggling but has never thought about ADHD—might read this, see themselves in it, and seek treatment themselves. If you're reading this and any of it sounds familiar, I'd recommend checking out The ADHD Effect on Marriage by Melissa Orlov and Dr. Russell Barkley's excellent book, Taking Charge of Adult ADHD. Both were super helpful in figuring this out. And if you're listening to some of this and nodding along, thinking you might have it too, you could try prompting ChatGPT with this prompt to suss it out: Act as a clinician conducting a pre-assessment for ADHD. Ask me structured, clinically relevant questions to explore my symptoms, history, and their impact on my life. Cover: core symptoms (inattention, hyperactivity, impulsivity), their effect on daily life (work, relationships, self-care), medical and family history, lifestyle factors (sleep, diet, stress), coping strategies, and how long symptoms have persisted. Summarize my responses into a professional document I can share with a clinician. You should also watch the excellent YouTube video on diagnosis by Russel Barklay, which I link in the thread below. Of course, ChatGPT can't diagnose you, but it can give you a sense if maybe it's something to look into. There are tons of telehealth pill-mills that ask you ten questions then rubber stamp you a lifetime prescription of stimulants—you should avoid those. I think it's worth doing a full assessment, which is a multi-hour process that includes qualitative and quantitative testing. I got diagnosed at Resilient Health in Victoria and was impressed by how thorough they were. The assessment wasn't some quick DSM checklist. It was a comprehensive process involving interviews with me, as well as Zoe and my family, coupled with extensive attention and memory tests. It took about six hours altogether, and at the end I had a detailed document explaining both my ADHD diagnosis and my overall psychological profile. And if you're curious about brain health in general—something almost nobody seems to assess outside of my extreme health nerd friends—the neurologist who identified this for me was Dr. Kellyann Niotis. She's amazing, and I highly recommend checking her out, ADHD or not. Do you have ADHD too? I'm keen to hear your thoughts and experiences. I’m only a few months into navigating this, so I have much to learn :-) I've posted a list of links to the various studies, podcasts, YouTube videos, and books I've found helpful in the thread below 👇
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  18. Andrew Wilkinson✓@awilkinson
    Andrew Wilkinson
    RT @nikitabier: There is nothing to worry about. Nothing important is run on PHP or old software—except the water & electrical grid, a few government services like our missile defense systems and a handful of electrified fences at the zoo (for the lions, tigers and cobras).
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  19. Andrew Wilkinson✓@awilkinson
    Andrew Wilkinson
    RT @thekitze: if steve jobs saw you reserving 15% screen width for a single icon and then putting a left side arrow back button on the unreachable right side of the screen he would've personally taken you behind a dumpster and beat you with a metal pipe
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  20. Andrew Wilkinson✓@awilkinson
    Andrew Wilkinson
    RT @JasonDClinton: as bad as things have gotten in the past 4 days, they are going to get a lot worse before they get better. security leaders, never let a crisis go to waste: please go to your boards and ask for help right now. not for ai, for the basics. (we need to hold on for ~18 months.)
    Jason D. Clinton 🔸 @JasonDClinton
    The vulnerability tsunami is coming in just a few months and there won’t be enough time to patch critical infrastructure. Network isolation described below (air-gaps and data diodes!) needed now!
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  21. Jason D. Clinton 🔸✓@JasonDClinton
    The vulnerability tsunami is coming in just a few months and there won’t be enough time to patch critical infrastructure. Network isolation described below (air-gaps and data diodes!) needed now!
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  22. Andrew Wilkinson✓@awilkinson
    Can anyone help me get a Claude Duet invite? 🙏🏻
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  23. Andrew Wilkinson✓@awilkinson
    I'll be in Honolulu until Friday. Any interesting people around?
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  24. Andrew Wilkinson✓@awilkinson
    Excited to share some details about Tiny's investment in my friend @jasoncwarner's open-source AI model and compute infrastructure company, @poolsideai: In 2023, Tiny invested US$250,000 in Poolside. Based on NVIDIA's financing terms, that stake now has an implied paper value of approximately US$11.1 million (C$15.8 million). That's roughly 44x our original investment, and we continue to hold the stake. The NVIDIA deal has two separate components: a US$6 billion technology licence and a US$1 billion investment in Poolside at a US$13 billion post-money valuation. We also own shares in Poolside Infrastructure Company, which was spun out of Poolside. We haven't assigned any value to those shares, so they're not included in the US$11.1 million figure. Poolside Infrastructure is developing Project Horizon, a power, data centre and cloud infrastructure campus in West Texas. Plans include an initial 200 MW building within a 1.2 GW campus, with operations targeted to begin in late 2027 and more than 7 GW of identified longer-term expansion potential, subject to financing and execution. Tiny's core strategy remains focused on majority ownership of durable, cash-generating businesses. Poolside was a small, selective minority investment backing an exceptional founder we know well.
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  25. Andrew Wilkinson✓@awilkinson
    Andrew Wilkinson
    RT @danroberts0101: A lot of questions this week on funding, so here's how a GPU typically gets funded at $IREN. First, the customer signs a multi-year take-or-pay contract and agrees to a prepayment. On our recent 3-year contracts, prepayments have been 45% to 55% of the associated GPU capex. Second, financing is committed, secured by the contracted GPUs. On the Microsoft contract we secured an A-rated facility at around 6%, which together with prepayments covers 96% of GPU capex. More recently, for a non-investment grade counterparty at Mackenzie, we secured financing at 9% fixed, which together with prepayments covers more than the full cost of the GPUs. That's the GPU side. The data centers are a separate, long-term asset base, and we own the ones our GPUs run in. Construction has been funded from cash to date, with no debt against these multi-billion dollar assets. As they come online with contracted customers, they can support financing in their own right. The processes behind the next facilities are continuing, and new paper will cost what the market charges. With GPU paybacks of around two years on our recent 3-year contracts, a wider spread barely moves the economics. There's more customer demand than we can build for. As we noted at our recent earnings, 2026 is largely sold out, recent 3-year contracts are at more than double the prior year's pricing, and demand for anything we can bring online in 2027 covers it several times over, with prepayments a focus in every negotiation. Conversations on 2028 capacity are already underway. Meanwhile announced capacity keeps slipping across the industry, which is the point: signing deals isn't the bottleneck in this market, bringing GPUs online is, and that's our focus.
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