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OSZ✓

@OpenSourceZone

Your 24/7 source for breaking news and insider insights Tracking the latest political polls and Elections in one place https://t.co/BXYKG3aNV3

1K Urmărește56.4K Urmăritori20.1K Postări
  1. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Mary Peltola denies knowing about Alaska spoiler candidate as the investigation escalates per AP “I knew nothing about any other candidate” “I am not interested in tricking voters”
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    OSZ @OpenSourceZone
    Operatives aligned with Mary Peltola spent months recruiting candidates with the same name as Sen. Dan Sullivan to peel votes from the senator per NYT
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  2. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Operatives aligned with Mary Peltola spent months recruiting candidates with the same name as Sen. Dan Sullivan to peel votes from the senator per NYT
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  3. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Alaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy won’t commit to certifying the US Senate race if Mary Peltola wins
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  5. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Justice Department’s Dan Sullivan criminal probe accelerates after Alaska campaign revelations per CNN More than 40 grand jury subpoenas have been issued
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    OSZ @OpenSourceZone
    Operatives aligned with Mary Peltola spent months recruiting candidates with the same name as Sen. Dan Sullivan to peel votes from the senator per NYT
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  6. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Mark Halperin says Republicans have privately conceded multiple senate races including Kansas
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  7. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    The U.S. Q3 GDP grew at an annualized rate of 3.4% in the third quarter, higher than expectations
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  8. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Early Vote 𝐏𝐫𝐨𝐣𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 in key states 2022 vs 2026 Texas: 2022: 🔴 Republicans +2 2026: 🔴 Republicans +1 Ohio: 2022: 🔵 Democrats +5 2026: 🔵 Democrats +5 Michigan: 2022: 🔵 Democrats +20 2026: 🔵 Democrats +15 (Via NBC | Per TargetSmart)
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  9. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    2026 Arizona early vote 5 days out vs same point in 2022 per @StealthPolling 2022: 🔵 Democrats: 38.8% 🔴 Republicans: 37.0% 🟡 Other: 24.2% 2026: 🔴 Republicans: 38.3% (+1.3) 🔵 Democrats: 37.4% (-1.4) 🟡 Other: 24.3% (+0.1)
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  10. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Postări @OpenSourceZone
    This is a projection based on Voting history, Demographics etc by Target Smart, these states don’t register early voting by political parties
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  11. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    NYT: 4 Scenarios for the Midterms based on the generic ballot Generic ballot: 🔵 D+5 to 🔵 D+7 House: 🔵 Narrow Dem win Senate: 🔴 Republican win Generic ballot: 🔵 D+7 to 🔵 D+9 House: 🔵 Comfortable Dem win Senate: 🔴 Narrow Republican win Generic ballot: 🔵 D+8 to 🔵 D+10 House: 🔵 Large Dem win Senate: 🔵 Narrow Dem win Generic ballot: 🔵 D+10 or higher House: 🔵 Large Dem win Senate: 🔵 Large Dem win
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  12. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Senate Majority Leader John Thune says that the firewall states for Republicans are: Ohio: 🔴 GOP Hold Maine: 🔴 GOP Hold Iowa: 🔴 GOP Hold Alaska: 🔴 GOP Hold
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  13. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    2026 Alaska Senate Poll 🔴 Dan Sullivan: 48% 🔵 Mary Peltola: 47% Rasmussen Reports | 10/12-10/15 LV
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  14. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Florida Governor Race Among Cuban Americans 🔴 Byron Donalds: 60% 🔵 David Jolly: 24% Florida International University’s Institute
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  15. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Voters Age 18-29 Through The Years: 2018: 🔵 D+35 2020: 🔵 D+26 2022: 🔵 D+28 2024: 🔵 D+14 *2026: 🔵 D+18 *(YouGov/Economist poll | 10/23-26)
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  16. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Republicans vs Democrats on immigration 🔴 Republicans: 47% 🔵 Democrats: 38% YouGov Poll/Economist | 10/23-26
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  17. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    As CNN drops a new poll with democrat Adam Hamilton up 4 points in the Kansas senate race, his odds surge and are now tied Kansas senate odds per Kalshi 🔴 Roger Marshall: 50% (-20) 🔵 Adam Hamilton: 50% (+20) (+/- vs September 30)
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  18. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    OSZ
    RT @AOCtracker: Ted Cruz says if AOC is the nominee, she could win Republicans are getting scared!
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  19. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    OSZ
    RT @OpenSourceZone: CNN: Senate polls show the GOP doing much better among likely voters than registered voters. Registered voters vs likely voters House: 🔴 1 point more Republican Senate: 🔴 4 points more Republican
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  20. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Elon Musk has dropped a historic $446 million on the 2026 midterms so far 🔴 America PAC: $215 million 🔴 Senate GOP's fundraising arm: $168 million 🔴 House GOP leadership fund: $30 million
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  21. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Patrick Stewart has passed away per NYT
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  22. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Day 10 Florida In Person Early Vote update 🔴 Republican: 61,936 (46.8%) 🔵 Democrat: 42,157 (31.8%) 🟡 Independents: 24,875 (18.8%)
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  23. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Speaker Mike Johnson says polls are underrepresenting Republicans “It’s just like 2024, that’s what it feels like to me”
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  24. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Since Zohran Mamdani became mayor, Jewish support for Democrats has collapsed NY Generic Ballot Among Jews 2018: 🔵 Democrats +40 2022: 🔵 Democrats +49 2026: 🔵 Democrats +13
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    OSZ @OpenSourceZone
    New York City mayoral Democratic primary among Jewish Democrats (H2H) 🔵 Jessica Tisch: 44% 🔵 Zohran Mamdani: 42% Honan Strategy Group poll | 10/2-10/7
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  25. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    OSZ
    RT @RubioTracker: Trump introduces Marco Rubio as he campaigns with Donald Trump in Texas Marco Rubio is one of the Republican front runners for 2028
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  26. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Democratic campaign strategists says there are rumors circulating that Haley Stevens is planning to endorse Republican Mike Rogers over democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed
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    OSZ @OpenSourceZone
    Haley Stevens' fiancé says he's voting for Mike Rogers over Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Senate election
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  27. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    New York City mayoral Democratic primary among Jewish Democrats (H2H) 🔵 Jessica Tisch: 44% 🔵 Zohran Mamdani: 42% Honan Strategy Group poll | 10/2-10/7
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  28. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Less than a week left until one of the most anticipated midterm elections
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  29. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Haley Stevens' fiancé says he's voting for Mike Rogers over Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Senate election
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  30. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    5 days until election day, the Democrats are the favorites to take the senate per Kalshi How the generic ballot translates to Senate outcomes, per NYT Generic ballot: 🔵 D+5 to 🔵 D+7 Senate: 🔴 Republican win Generic ballot: 🔵 D+7 to 🔵 D+9 Senate: 🔴 Narrow Republican win Generic ballot: 🔵 D+8 to 🔵 D+10 Senate: 🔵 Narrow Dem win Generic ballot: 🔵 D+10 or higher Senate: 🔵 Large Dem win
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  31. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    OSZ
    RT @RubioTracker: The US State Department says they will issue visas to Flavio Bolsanaro and his family and allow them entry into the United States.
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  32. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Yesterday was the most Republican day of early voting in Texas so far Per @ZacharyDonnini Texas Early Vote Daily Margins (2024 Electorate) 10/19: 🔴 Trump +3.4 10/20: 🔴 Trump +8.2 10/21: 🔴 Trump +10.3 10/22: 🔴 Trump +11.9 10/23: 🔴 Trump +11.2 10/24: 🔴 Trump +5.4 10/25: 🔴 Trump +4.2 10/26: 🔴 Trump +11.9 10/27: 🔴 Trump +13.1
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  34. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Based on the N+ Univision Florida poll on voting methods and current Florida voter registration: Projected Florida Election Day Electorate 🔴 Republicans: 56% 🔵 Democrats: 24% 🟡 Independents: 20%
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    OSZ @OpenSourceZone
    Florida share of voting methods poll In person election day: 🔵 Dem 28% 🔴 GOP: 24% Mail in vote: 🔵 Dem: 37% 🔴 GOP: 24% Election day: 🔵 Dem: 29% 🔴 GOP: 49% N+ Univision Florida Poll
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  35. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Fox News: The criminal investigation into Daniel J. Sullivan appearing on the ballot for US Senate in Alaska has intensified Multiple grand jury subpoenas will be issued in the coming hours and days.
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    OSZ @OpenSourceZone
    Operatives aligned with Mary Peltola spent months recruiting candidates with the same name as Sen. Dan Sullivan to peel votes from the senator per NYT
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  36. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    2026 Iowa Senate 🔴 Ashley Hinson: 48% 🔵 Josh Turek: 46% Co/efficient poll | 10/28
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  37. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Florida share of voting methods poll In person election day: 🔵 Dem 28% 🔴 GOP: 24% Mail in vote: 🔵 Dem: 37% 🔴 GOP: 24% Election day: 🔵 Dem: 29% 🔴 GOP: 49% N+ Univision Florida Poll
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  38. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Day 11 Florida In Person Early Vote update 🔴 Republican: 82,495 (46.4%) 🔵 Democrat: 55,831 (31.4%) 🟡 Independents: 34,607 (19.4%)
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  39. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Republicans way more likely to vote on Election Day compared to 2024  Republican Voters 🔴 Election day: 2024: 39% 2026: 47% (+8)  🟡 Early in-person: 2024: 35% 2026: 32% (-3)  🔵 Mail/Absentee: 2024: 26% 2026: 21% (-5)  Democratic Voters 🔴 Election day: 2024: 28% 2026: 30% (+2)  🟡 Early in-person: 2024: 28% 2026: 29% (+1)  🔵 Mail/Absentee: 2024: 44% 2026: 39% (-5)  (Sources: Pew Research 2024 data; The Economist/YouGov Poll 2026 data)
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  40. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    OSZ
    RT @KalshiPolitics: MAJOR SHIFT: People on Kalshi's markets estimate 95% of House districts to shift towards Democrats in 2026 compared to 2024. Redistricting in 9 states caused the projected shifts not to be as uniform as in a typical Midterm. See the below map to see the forecasted shift by district by the length of color of the arrows
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  41. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    CNN: Susan Collins is slightly down in the polls, but she has outperformed the polls for 3 straight elections Polls Underestimated Susan Collins By: 2008: 🔴 8 Points 2014: 🔴 8 Points 2020: 🔴 12 Points
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  42. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Postări @OpenSourceZone
    Source: 2024: 2026:
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    OSZ
    RT @AOCtracker: AOC campaigns for Angie Nixon in Florida Florida might get their first socialist senator
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  44. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    OSZ
    RT @RubioTracker: Interim Venezuela president says that she will deliver a message: She says that Venezuela has a clear roadmap for the democratic, economic, and social transformation that this historic moment demands The Trump administration is bringing democracy to Venezuela
    Commentary Rubio Tracker @RubioTracker
    The Trump Administration supports the renewal of key institutions in Venezuela, which will lead to Delcy Rodríguez to declare the Presidency vacant This will open a 6-month period for elections to be called.
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  45. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Senator Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) accuses Mary Peltola's campaign of a "cover-up" after it was revealed that the Peltola's campaign recruited the fake Dan Sullivan
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    OSZ @OpenSourceZone
    Operatives aligned with Mary Peltola spent months recruiting candidates with the same name as Sen. Dan Sullivan to peel votes from the senator per NYT
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  46. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    Oct 29 Non cumulative Nevada Early In Person Vote So Far 🔴 Republicans: 45.4% 🔵 Democrats: 28.8% 🟡 Other: 25.8%
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  47. Commentary Rubio Tracker@RubioTracker
    The Trump Administration supports the renewal of key institutions in Venezuela, which will lead to Delcy Rodríguez to declare the Presidency vacant This will open a 6-month period for elections to be called.
    Descarcă
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  48. OSZ✓@OpenSourceZone
    As election day is 6 days away, Susan Collins’ odds in the past couple days increase Maine Senate odds per Kalshi 🔵 Troy Jackson: 60% (-6) 🔴 Susan Collins: 40% (+6) (+/- vs 6 days ago)
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