Rand Group✓

@randgroup

Trading & Investing. Building @RR2Capital with over 220 early stage investments. Join my +39,000 traders community at https://t.co/H8N3oNrEAK

1.4K Abonnements357K Abonnés129K Posts
  1. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    🚨 Trillions of dollars are now priced on the idea that AI agents will replace half the workforce. The hype cycle says they're at the very top of expectations. If the products disappoint even a little, the drop to the trough will be BRUTAL.
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  2. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    💥 THE ANTHROPIC BREAKDOWN ( $ANT ) The CEO says AI could threaten humanity The balance says it lost $81B in six months Wall Street says buy it anyway
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  3. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    ⚡️ TRADING CHALLENGE: Back to basics You don't need $100K to learn how to trade. $1,000. Real account. Goal: $3K. Same setups I use, sized for everyone. Follow along:
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  4. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    Save this. Record IPOs tend to show up when everyone is comfortable. - ICBC (Oct 2006): Chinese stocks peaked a year later, then fell about 70% - Alibaba (Sep 2014): $BABA dropped more than 50% from its high within a year - Saudi Aramco (Dec 2019): the COVID crash came 3 months later Not every time tho... SoftBank listed in December 2018 and that was close to the bottom. So this alone won’t time the market. But when the biggest IPO in history hits right as the put/call ratio sits near 6 year lows, I pay attention.
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  5. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    We're living in an economy where saving cash is the risky move and being fully invested is the conservative one. Your parents would call that insane, it's the new reality
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  6. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    Rand Group
    RT @randgroup: 🚨 RESEARCH: How much of the major assets is held by individuals? - Bitcoin: 79.6% - Gold: 47.4% - Stocks: 41.6% - Bonds: 11.8%
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  7. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    Bitcoin's strongest holders don't trade. They wait ⌛️
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  8. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    Rand Group
    RT @randgroup: The Soviet Union collapsed at 50%...France is at 57% and striking for more, mindblowing
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  9. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    Classic IPOs release every locked share on day 181 and the stock often sinks. Anthropic staggered its unlocks over a full year, and the co-founders wait the longest 👌
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  10. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    Rand Group
    RT @randgroup: ⚠️ Why is $GOOGL tanking? Not too long ago you had to click through 5 links and 3 ads to get an answer. Now you just ask the AI. Hard to see Search and Ads growing if that keeps up.
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  11. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    1896: Dow Jones 1957: S&P 500 2026: Kalshi 130 years of indexing stocks. Now, prediction markets.
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    Tarek Mansour @mansourtarek_
    S&P Dow Jones Indices and Kalshi are joining forces to build the next generation of financial markets. The Dow launched in 1896. The S&P 500 in 1957. The idea was simple: bring individual stocks together into a single benchmark, giving people a clearer view of the broader market. Over time, products built around those benchmarks transformed investing. Index funds, ETFs, futures, and options gave investors ways to gain diversified market exposure and hedge broad market swings. These indices became foundations of global finance. More than $20 trillion is indexed or benchmarked to the S&P 500 alone. Today, this structure extends beyond stocks to bonds, commodities, currencies, and more. The next step is to bring that structure to the events that shape everyone’s lives. Through this partnership, S&P Dow Jones Indices and Kalshi will work together to create indices composed of Kalshi event contracts. Think about what that opens up. An index of political power. An index of supply chain risk. An index tracking AI’s impact on employment. An index of sports outcomes that affect broadcasters, advertisers, cities, and small businesses. An index of weather risks that shape harvests, energy demand, and business revenues. Each would bundle event contracts into a single indicator, helping people understand how related risks are evolving. Over time, products built around these indices could offer diversified exposure to those events and new ways to hedge their impact. The events that shape our lives could become as easy to track and gain exposure to as the S&P 500.
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  12. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    Rand Group
    RT @randgroup: ⚠️ RESEARCH: LLM token prices down 55% from the May top and now below where they started the year. Great for anyone using AI but not so great for the companies spending $165B a quarter on capex.
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  13. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    Rand Group
    RT @randgroup: 🚨 The safest asset on Earth just had its worst decade since the Great Depression
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  14. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    ⚠️ Bitcoin at 1% of global assets is about $368K. At gold's size, over $1.3M. Today it sits at $80K, roughly 0.2% of the pile. All it takes to get there is a handful of big funds moving ONE percent of their money.
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  15. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    Rand Group
    RT @randgroup: ⚠️ Anthropic now holds more cash than Amazon, Microsoft and Apple combined... almost. Not bad
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  16. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    A year ago most people wouldn't let AI order them a pizza. Now they'll hand it the card and walk away. Next year it picks your insurance, your mortgage and your stocks, and you'll click "approve" without READING a word
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  17. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    The last time the $BTC / Gold peaked was late 2020. Bitcoin tripled right after 👀
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  18. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    Grain and oil are worth trillions. Gold, tens of trillions. Stocks, over a hundred trillion. Each new financial market has eclipsed the last. Prediction markets are next.
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    Tarek Mansour @mansourtarek_
    S&P Dow Jones Indices and Kalshi are joining forces to build the next generation of financial markets. The Dow launched in 1896. The S&P 500 in 1957. The idea was simple: bring individual stocks together into a single benchmark, giving people a clearer view of the broader market. Over time, products built around those benchmarks transformed investing. Index funds, ETFs, futures, and options gave investors ways to gain diversified market exposure and hedge broad market swings. These indices became foundations of global finance. More than $20 trillion is indexed or benchmarked to the S&P 500 alone. Today, this structure extends beyond stocks to bonds, commodities, currencies, and more. The next step is to bring that structure to the events that shape everyone’s lives. Through this partnership, S&P Dow Jones Indices and Kalshi will work together to create indices composed of Kalshi event contracts. Think about what that opens up. An index of political power. An index of supply chain risk. An index tracking AI’s impact on employment. An index of sports outcomes that affect broadcasters, advertisers, cities, and small businesses. An index of weather risks that shape harvests, energy demand, and business revenues. Each would bundle event contracts into a single indicator, helping people understand how related risks are evolving. Over time, products built around these indices could offer diversified exposure to those events and new ways to hedge their impact. The events that shape our lives could become as easy to track and gain exposure to as the S&P 500.
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  19. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    Starlink ( $SPCX ) doesn't dig a single trench. Every launch adds capacity over the whole planet at once, and every rocket gets cheaper than the last. This curve is just getting STARTED, and nobody else on Earth can launch at this pace 🛰️
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  20. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    🇺🇸 The most active fund manager in America also signs the executive orders
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  21. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    Central banks are piling into gold at the fastest pace in decades. Last time this line went vertical, inflation hit double digits 👀
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  22. Tarek Mansour✓@mansourtarek_
    S&P Dow Jones Indices and Kalshi are joining forces to build the next generation of financial markets. The Dow launched in 1896. The S&P 500 in 1957. The idea was simple: bring individual stocks together into a single benchmark, giving people a clearer view of the broader market. Over time, products built around those benchmarks transformed investing. Index funds, ETFs, futures, and options gave investors ways to gain diversified market exposure and hedge broad market swings. These indices became foundations of global finance. More than $20 trillion is indexed or benchmarked to the S&P 500 alone. Today, this structure extends beyond stocks to bonds, commodities, currencies, and more. The next step is to bring that structure to the events that shape everyone’s lives. Through this partnership, S&P Dow Jones Indices and Kalshi will work together to create indices composed of Kalshi event contracts. Think about what that opens up. An index of political power. An index of supply chain risk. An index tracking AI’s impact on employment. An index of sports outcomes that affect broadcasters, advertisers, cities, and small businesses. An index of weather risks that shape harvests, energy demand, and business revenues. Each would bundle event contracts into a single indicator, helping people understand how related risks are evolving. Over time, products built around these indices could offer diversified exposure to those events and new ways to hedge their impact. The events that shape our lives could become as easy to track and gain exposure to as the S&P 500.
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  23. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    Every Buy on this chart came when the timeline was calling Bitcoin dead. Check your feed 👀
    Seth @seth_fin
    Banger buy signal on $BTC Look what happened the last 4 times it happened... You think this time is different homie?
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  24. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    Usage up. Price down. Everyone's celebrating. Run it backwards. More compute per dollar of revenue, every single week, funded by investors who think this curve never ends. So...what's next? 👀
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  25. Seth✓@seth_fin
    Banger buy signal on $BTC Look what happened the last 4 times it happened... You think this time is different homie?
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  26. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    ⚡️ Anthropic went from $40M to a $32B run rate in three years. Google, Amazon and Meta never grew anywhere near this fast
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  27. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    Rand Group
    RT @randgroup: Cigarettes took 60 years to peak and nobody saw the damage until it was everywhere. Now look at your screen time. Phones did the same to your attention span in ten years. Which year are we in, 1930 or the 1963 PEAK?
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  28. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    Rand Group
    RT @randgroup: 💥 BREAKING: Europe's second largest economy is borrowing like it's 2011 Greece. If Paris cracks, Italy follows, the ECB prints, and the euro in your account will melt soon.
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  29. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    💥 DISCORD: $AAPL smashes our target with a +25% profit ▫️ More trades and analysis:
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  30. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    Remember when Claude felt too cheap for what it did? It was. Anthropic was eating the difference
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  31. Rand Group✓@randgroup
    Rand Group
    RT @randgroup: Here's what nobody wants to admit. Every Bitcoin bottom on this chart was built by people like YOU quitting. So which one are you this time: the holder who survived it, or the liquidity the next cycle gets built on? 🪤
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