We’re at the stage of the market where bagholders are convincing themselves their stock might be the next acquisition target.
72726.4K
Ariel Hernandez✓
@RealSimpleAriel
Day trader turned swing trader. Here to help others improve their trading! Join me for live streaming on Discord. https://t.co/RRhmvGkkh0
585 Seguiti69.3K Follower31.8K Post
- Hedge fund managers watching me short the pops on $PANW $MU the past two days thinking I’m about to make a fortune.10212913.2K
- 10/28/2026 After Hours Recap: 💩💩 - Software💩💩💩💩 - FOMC 💩 - Memory names 💩 - Cybersecurity 💩💩💩 - Recent Traction 💩💩💩 - Earnings reports tonight: 💩💩💩💩 - Genomics 🚀 - This is not the market to be trading big size or chasing strength. - I tried $PANW short yesterday and $MU short today. Missed with my timing but both would be working out well right now. - Shorting supply for the win.331535429.9K
- And $GOOGL misses the top and bottom number for earnings. Plus $NOW received the after hours colonoscopy for its own report 🤣🤣 This market has made it abundantly clear. Handshake deals and partnerships no longer matter SHOW ME THE MONEY!!Ariel Hernandez @RealSimpleArielOpenAI and ServiceNow expand partnership across enterprise workflows. P.S. no one gives a shit about the partnerships anymore. Just show me the money11812922.2K
- OpenAI and ServiceNow expand partnership across enterprise workflows. P.S. no one gives a shit about the partnerships anymore. Just show me the money816428.6K
- Dodging all sorts of danger out here $CRM. 😅 Are we having fun yet!?
Ariel Hernandez @RealSimpleArielTo think i was stopped out of $PANW short yesterday 🤮 This market is an absolute landmine1415315.1K - To think i was stopped out of $PANW short yesterday 🤮 This market is an absolute landmine22115627.5K
- 10/26/2026: Where did the volatility go!? - Although we finished .7% on the $SPY I thought today was a total sleeper of a day. - $QQQ up 1.1% but really not the action I would have expected. - $SMH nice bounce attempt day. Seeing $INTC finding a bid against the 200sma makes sense after a 30% down move in 3 weeks. - $WGMI absolutely miserable group with a poor rally attempt out of $NBIS $HUT $CIFR $IREN $CRWV - Software remains your growth leadership with $HACK $CIBR really being the standout group. $NTSK $TENB $RBRK $CRWD $FTNT $PANW - $MAGS also a rebound attempt and even a nice job seeing $TSLA reclaim the 200sma. But $GOOGL and $META very sloppy charts and someone appears to be a bit broken with Google. - $USO slight down day but the $XOP $OIH $XLE don't show much sign of trying to slow. - $EWZ don't think I've ever seen a country ETF down 20%. Turns out the markets don't like socialism... Surprise! - I would call today underwhelming action where conviction wasn't gained for either side. - Are charts still broken? Yes. - Can they rally back up for a few days? Yes. - Do you know with a high degree of certainty, based on prior traction, what the market is capable of doing tomorrow? No! - For me this just means to stay patient.20917319K
- $AAPL impressive to now have 20yr old technology on the MacBook!Ariel Hernandez @RealSimpleArielA trillion in Capex spend for this!? $AAPL I can't wait for Apple to introduce the revolutionary touchscreen MacBook Pro.713114.5K
- Elon called for the death of neoclouds, so naturally they are all bouncing today. $NBIS $HUT $CIFR $RIOT $IREN $CRWV Semiconductors $SMH trying to find some support as well. $INTC $ALAB right against the 200sma for anyone who was able to get in and risk against that level, nice work!
25615216.6K - A trillion in Capex spend for this!? $AAPL I can't wait for Apple to introduce the revolutionary touchscreen MacBook Pro.37412257.2K
- $ARKG and $IBB leading today. Nice follow through from yesterday
63409.7K - This is just incredible and hilarious all at the same time 🤣😂 I really need to get my video making skills to the next levelKira Vault @KiraVaultDJA few traders celebrated @NickDrendel's birthday 🎂📈 EPIC party. Best one yet. Charts bullish, vibes immaculate… …until THAT person walked in. 👀😂 You know who. 🔥 @RealSimpleAriel @Clement_Ang17 @CFlanders7 @martinlukkt16221526.9K
- Gently used data center for sale 😅 $NVDAWall St Engine @wallstengineA 300-rack AI supercomputer powered by 9,600 Nvidia A100 GPUs is listed on eBay for $59.7M. That’s 1,200 GPU compute servers with 384TB of combined GPU memory and roughly 1.4 petabytes of system RAM. Each compute server connects eight A100 GPUs through $NVDA's NVSwitch technology. More than six years after A100 launched, The seller is offering these systems refurbished for new AI training and inference deployments.17715136.4K
Kira Vault@KiraVaultDJA few traders celebrated @NickDrendel's birthday 🎂📈 EPIC party. Best one yet. Charts bullish, vibes immaculate… …until THAT person walked in. 👀😂 You know who. 🔥 @RealSimpleAriel @Clement_Ang17 @CFlanders7 @martinlukkt19815433.6K
A 300-rack AI supercomputer powered by 9,600 Nvidia A100 GPUs is listed on eBay for $59.7M. That’s 1,200 GPU compute servers with 384TB of combined GPU memory and roughly 1.4 petabytes of system RAM. Each compute server connects eight A100 GPUs through $NVDA's NVSwitch technology. More than six years after A100 launched, The seller is offering these systems refurbished for new AI training and inference deployments.
2821602.6K503K- Alô, polícia? Gostaria de denunciar um homicídio. Acabei de presenciar um verdadeiro massacre. $EWZ
26218525.9K - Ohh the memes I will make with this one 🤣🤣Israel75 @IFNY2775"I looked at one hell of a beautiful ass before, Nicki Minaj!" - Trump 👀 "That's hard to miss"11311033.2K
- And every few days we are reminded that memory stocks might still be incredibly cheap 🤣🤣 $MU $SNDK $SKHY291123428.6K
- 10/27/2026: Stocks bouncing but for how long? - Genomics were the group I felt was most impressive. Nice job reclaiming the 50sma by $ARKG - Bounce continued in the semis and $INTC $ALAB right off the 200sma. - Refiners with a nasty day today $VLO $MPC $PSX $DINO. They should be a no touch for several weeks at least. - Nice rally from the names and groups which had gotten most beaten up. $UFO $URA $SLV $GDX - Speaking of beaten up $WGMI leading bottom bouncer today up nearly 8%. Broken charts but ideally a multi day/week rally back into the 20/50sma. - $STX $TER took it on the chin in after hours for earnings. $SKHY reports tonight and should have some influence on how much more the memory names bounce from here. - Cyber names continue to act well. V-shaped recoveries out of $PANW $CRWD $OKTA. Leadership out of $NTSK $TENB $RBRK. - Nice to see $TSLA reclaim the 200sma. Before the robotics theme gets underway, can we get a small checkback into the 200dma? - $IWM also reclaiming the 200sma which is a bright spot. - Lots of technical damage and a snapback was expected. Lets see how long this lasts!9314117.1K
- Happy Birthday Nick! Great trading lessons 🎉🎂🎁Nick Drendel @NickDrendel🎂 33 Trading Lessons I've learned by my 33rd birthday! 1) Trading is a game of probability and risk management. 2) Don't argue with the market, you're wrong. 3) Align the majority of your exposure with the trend of the market.829420.5K
- $STX down 9%. If you loved the memory names trading at 6x forward earnings, you're going to LOVE them at 3x forward earnings. Nothing like a collapsing stock price to make a cyclical business look cheaper and cheaper.421028232.3K
🎂 33 Trading Lessons I've learned by my 33rd birthday! 1) Trading is a game of probability and risk management. 2) Don't argue with the market, you're wrong. 3) Align the majority of your exposure with the trend of the market.522232238.9K- Look ahead to next week. Will equal weight lead? - $RSP back above the 50sma. - 41.5% of my universe back above the 50sma - $XLE $XLV $XLP money going into the defensive parts of the S&P 500 - $XLC horrible week and a nasty rollover below the 200sma. $META $GOOGL $VZ $T $NFLX just a giant avoid for now. - $XLI steady trend below the 200sma. $CAT was being called a part of the AI trade, bet they wish that label was never applied to them. $GEV also down 11.5% for the week. Former leader having lost the 200sma. - $XLK flat week roughly but still the worst performer over the last month. Such a large part of the S&P 500 peaking out at nearly 40%. I would not be surprised to see continued unwind from that group. - $XLF nice to see this group sticking around but more importantly the $KRE. Regional banks playing a roll in keeping the $IWM buoyant. - Speaking of the Russell $IWM. We saw short positioning decrease for the prior two weeks. Hence the reason it has been flat this past month which the $QQQ is down 6%. - As for the Nasdaq small and large specs bought the dip. Hard to see how we meaningfully go higher with crowded positioning. - Software, in particular cyber security $HACK $CIBR leads the way for growth. $NTSK $RBRK $TENB $DDOG $NET $PANW $CRWD - This is a market for the patient. Get the idea out of your head that we are going to see new highs out of semis, memory, photonics and neoclouds. That party is over. - The focus should be on where is money going and where is money leaving. - Can we get a bounce in some of those themes? Yes! Should you reasonably expect clean trends to be born out of broken charts? You already know that answer.22919920.2K
- 🤣🤣Le Shrub🌳 @agnostoxxxMeme Summary of the Anthropic S-1 🥹🌳🙏524311.7K
- Ariel HernandezRT @NickDrendel: Weekend Outlook & Watchlist video is live! - Week Review of Indexes, Industry ETFs & Leaders - Major Upcoming Earnings: $MSFT $GOOGL $AMZN - Breadth Improves While Tech Selloff Worsens - Long Setups: $SHOP $NTRA $ZETA - Short Setups: $TSLA $BMNR $SEZL0403.8K
- Ariel HernandezRT @Muninn: This week alone I've tested 9 of fintwits' finest traders' rules on real trades. @ShakePryzby1, half off at +4R: fewer round trips, lower average @jfsrev, three stops: less drawdown, less profit @RossHaber, 2nd close under the 20-day: longer holds, nothing extra @Wordsofrizdom, weekly trend: didn't help @ohiain, breakeven at +3R: a wash @TMLitalia, no buys with T2108 under 30: held up @PradeepBonde, skip 20%+ run-ups into earnings: held up @InvestorsLive, wait 15 min on parabolic shorts: under half the stop-outs @RealSimpleAriel, don't chase the open: right, except the biggest winner Verify everything. In the next update of I will be introducing a new research-desk. Cant' wait to share.James Muninn @MuninnAlways study. Always look for edge. @jfsrev has so many brilliant ideas and adaptions. It's not only about bagging those big winners, but also about cutting our losses (smaller). Jeff says that "If your win rate is below 40%, your top priority should be reducing your losses further." I tested it on Qullamaggie's breakout trades. It reduces the drawdown by almost a third, but gives up some profits..0704.2K
- A bit of a bounce in the Comm Equipment group which has been beaten up. And same for the Neocloud names $AAOI $LITE $VIEN $CRWV $NBIS $HUT $IREN Refiners coming under pressure today. $VLO $MPC $PSX $DINO
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Always study. Always look for edge. @jfsrev has so many brilliant ideas and adaptions. It's not only about bagging those big winners, but also about cutting our losses (smaller). Jeff says that "If your win rate is below 40%, your top priority should be reducing your losses further." I tested it on Qullamaggie's breakout trades. It reduces the drawdown by almost a third, but gives up some profits..6813752.1K- Cyber related names & the oil and gas theme is the leadership today
12611316.3K - Ariel HernandezRT @SteveDJacobs: No apologies necessary - keep away the Furus! ⚠️☠️ If they have a Whatapps group, don't walk away ... RUN! You can learn everything you need for FREE BUT you need to do the work. See this post for resources : There are amazing and truly talented swing traders and Market Wizards who have generously shared all you need to learn to swing trade. Go follow these X accounts and read their posts. Follow who they follow. In no particular order and apologies to the many, many omissions 🫡: @RealSimpleAriel @TheShortBear @jfsrev @Peoplewish @NickDrendel @NickSchmidt @1ChartMaster @801010athlete @AmeetRai @mwebster1971 @Qullamaggie @PradeepBonde @LoneStockTrader @CFlanders7 @ohiain @edgeofsteve @realpristinecap @Upticken @Muninn @Trader_mcaruso BTW ... the key for the badges was in the post. Badges 🛡️ KQ = Qullamaggie MM = Minervini ON = O'Neil DB = Darvas Breakout SB4 = Stockbee 4% daily gainer SBW = Stockbee 20% weekly gainer SB9 = Stockbee 9M Mover TML = Liquid Growth 97C = 97 Club ER-n = Earnings in n calendar days📅 2A/2B = Stage 2A-2B 📈📉 Relative Trend Strength (square badge) Strike Zone (circle badge) ⚾️Steve Jacobs @SteveDJacobsAre trading courses & subscriptions worth it? What are the FREE alternatives... When I first started trading, it was books and newspapers only .... now it is everywhere - TikTok, You Tube, Discord, Seminars, X, courses.... talk about "drinking from a firehose"! 💦 Personally, I have not found any courses/subscriptions that have “secret sauce” or resources/information you cannot find elsewhere for free - if you know of any, let me know! Here are a few no-nonsense suggestions if I wanted to learn to trade today: Books After reading hundreds of books on trading, investing, human behavior etc., I found a lot of “noise”, repetition and waste (I am a slow reader!). With summer vacations here/approaching for many, below is a link to books I do repeatedly read. YouTube @traderlion is the gold standard of trading education. The interviews with top traders and USIC winners are top-notch and their recent "Traders Handbook" is excellent (I read it ... albeit slowly 🤣) - I always make time to listen to @RichardMoglen @rosshaber @ameetrai @nickschmidt @chatwithtraders Particularly a fan of the older interviews hosted by @aaronfifield ... the Qullamaggie one is gold! @wordsofrizdom Another channel interviewing top traders ... always excellent production and content @Qullamaggie Nobody did it better ... streamed it all live for free then went to enjoy life! 🐐 Read this from the man himself… … then watch these excellent Kristjan Kullamägi videos collated by @traderCharlieM @PradeepBonde Pradeep Bonde is an absolute Legend @RealSimpleAriel If you can, join Ariel's excellent free premarket Q&A in X or YouTube if possible, or watch his market recaps on his channel below. X Follow and go through @jfsrevg posts ... so much amazing content. Bottom line - learning to trade is a bit like learning the piano or getting in shape. YOU have to do the work, the equipment/tools are there waiting for YOU ... Let me know what I missed and have a great weekend! 🙏0904K
Are trading courses & subscriptions worth it? What are the FREE alternatives... When I first started trading, it was books and newspapers only .... now it is everywhere - TikTok, You Tube, Discord, Seminars, X, courses.... talk about "drinking from a firehose"! 💦 Personally, I have not found any courses/subscriptions that have “secret sauce” or resources/information you cannot find elsewhere for free - if you know of any, let me know! Here are a few no-nonsense suggestions if I wanted to learn to trade today: Books After reading hundreds of books on trading, investing, human behavior etc., I found a lot of “noise”, repetition and waste (I am a slow reader!). With summer vacations here/approaching for many, below is a link to books I do repeatedly read. YouTube @traderlion is the gold standard of trading education. The interviews with top traders and USIC winners are top-notch and their recent "Traders Handbook" is excellent (I read it ... albeit slowly 🤣) - I always make time to listen to @RichardMoglen @rosshaber @ameetrai @nickschmidt @chatwithtraders Particularly a fan of the older interviews hosted by @aaronfifield ... the Qullamaggie one is gold! @wordsofrizdom Another channel interviewing top traders ... always excellent production and content @Qullamaggie Nobody did it better ... streamed it all live for free then went to enjoy life! 🐐 Read this from the man himself… … then watch these excellent Kristjan Kullamägi videos collated by @traderCharlieM @PradeepBonde Pradeep Bonde is an absolute Legend @RealSimpleAriel If you can, join Ariel's excellent free premarket Q&A in X or YouTube if possible, or watch his market recaps on his channel below. X Follow and go through @jfsrevg posts ... so much amazing content. Bottom line - learning to trade is a bit like learning the piano or getting in shape. YOU have to do the work, the equipment/tools are there waiting for YOU ... Let me know what I missed and have a great weekend! 🙏142615328.6K
