PI✓

Money in. Money out. $0. The 5% withdrawal fee is gone. ACH deposits and withdrawals are now free — effective immediately. #thepeoplespredictionmarket

Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan (D) leads Michele Tafoya (R) 54% to 40% in a New York Times/Siena poll taken Oct. 19–26. That’s well ahead of her 47% to 44% lead in the DDHQ average. MN Senate: 🔵 Flanagan - 91¢ 🔴 Tafoya - 10¢ To replace the retiring Sen. Tina Smith (D-MN).

Minnesota Senate → Price as of 12:30 p.m. ET

Up 7 pts in the new Marquette Law School poll, Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley (D) leads Rep. Tom Tiffany (R-WI) 51% to 44% among likely voters, up from 3 pts in September. Governor: 🔵 Crowley - 82¢ 🔴 Tiffany - 20¢ To replace the retiring Gov. Tony Evers (D).

Wisconsin governor →

Traders call Texas a coin flip at 49¢. That price elects a senator and a governor from different parties. 🔴 Gov. Greg Abbott (R) is at 68¢ for re-election. 🔵 State Rep. James Talarico (D) is at 66¢ for Senate against Attorney General Ken Paxton (R). Early voting ends Friday.

Will Texas split its ticket? → Texas governor → Texas Senate →

A New York Times report on a recruited “spoiler” took @MaryPeltola (D-AK) from 74¢ to 67¢ Wednesday, on the month’s heaviest volume. Her campaign and the DSCC deny any role. She’s at 68¢ this morning. Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-AK) is at 31¢. #Midterms2026 #AKSenate #Elections2026

Alaska Senate → Will Alaska split its ticket? → #AlaskaSenate

Iowa has the widest gap on the board, and it crosses party lines. Traders have State Auditor Rob Sand (D) at 82¢ for governor and Rep. Ashley Hinson (R-IA) at 54¢ for Senate. Decision Desk HQ’s averages line up: Sand up 6, Hinson up less than half a point. #Midterms2026 #Iowa

Iowa governor → Iowa Senate →

Georgia runs the other way. Senate: 🔵 Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-GA) - 95¢ 🔴 Rep. Mike Collins (R-GA) - 6¢ Governor: 🔵 Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) - 63¢ 🔴 Rick Jackson (R) - 39¢ That’s a 32-cent gap. If no one clears 50%, the governor’s race goes to a Dec. 1 runoff. #Georgia

Georgia governor → Georgia Senate → #Midterms2026 #GeorgiaElects

Michigan: same pattern, bigger gap. Governor: 🔵 Jocelyn Benson - 91¢ 🔴 Rep. John James (R-MI) - 9¢ Lates WDIV/Detroit News poll: 51.4% to 44.5% in favor of Benson. Senate: 🔵 Abdul El-Sayed - 71¢ 🔴 Rep. Mike Rogers - 29¢ #MISenate #Midterms2026

Michigan governor → Michigan Senate → Prices as of 6 a.m. ET.

Same party, same ballot, 12 cents apart in Ohio. Ohio governor: 🔵 Amy Acton - 81¢ 🔴 Vivek Ramaswamy - 21¢ Ohio Senate: 🔵 Sherrod Brown - 69¢ 🔴 Sen. Jon Husted (R-OH) - 29¢ #Ohio #Elections #Midterms2026

Ohio governor → Ohio Senate → Will Ohio split its ticket? → Prices as of 6 a.m. ET.

What happens next in 🇮🇱 Israel: Soldiers’ ballots get counted. Then President Isaac Herzog taps a lawmaker to build a coalition, with 28 days plus a possible 14-day extension. It takes 61 seats. With 77% counted, Netanyahu’s bloc has 54 and Eisenkot’s has 47. #IsraelElections

Israel prime minister →

South Carolina is where the polls and the price split. The polls: Sen. Darline Graham (R-SC) up three points over Annie Andrews (D) in a Trafalgar poll and up one in a South Carolina Policy Council survey, per The State. Traders: 🔴 Graham 75¢, 🔵 Andrews 33¢. #SCSenate

South Carolina Senate →