Ireland's Energy Mix✓

💤 𝗡𝗲𝘁𝘇𝗲𝗿𝗼? 𝗪𝗵𝗲𝗻? 💤 Sometimes we forget: the green transition involves electrifying sectors that use fossil-fuels (by definition) Maybe if electrical energy was abundant and cheap, not 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗺𝗼𝘀𝘁 𝗲𝘅𝗽𝗲𝗻𝘀𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗼𝗿𝗹𝗱, we would move quicker. At current pace, its not even happening in your lifetime. Based on a *current* trajectory, full electrification of the All-Island Heat and Transport sectors would not be completed until the year 2133 • Target All-Island H&T Demand: 40.0 TWh electrical • Current H&T Demand Achieved (to 2026): ~2.5 TWh • Remaining Gap to Electrify: 37.5 TWh • Actual Linear Growth Rate: 0.35 TWh / yr 🚘 >100,000 EVs registered / yr 🚿 >40,000 heat pumps installed /yr • Time to Completion: 37.5 divided by 0.35 = 𝟭𝟬𝟳 𝘆𝗲𝗮𝗿𝘀

RT @xiaowang1984: This is the part of the energy transition that breaks people's brains in my opinion. They falsely have the idea that gas is some immutable per unit fixed cost that is inherently expensive while completely neglecting that it has its own fixed cost infrastructure whose unit price goes down if volumes are increased and vice versa So it's increasingly easy to blame "expensive" gas while neglecting that the very policies that discourage its use are what makes it expensive and force amortization over lower volumes and lack of fixed favorable supply pricing because "we're getting rid of it anyways" Also the cursed logic that supports letting the infra like storage degrade

𝗜𝗿𝗶𝘀𝗵 𝗘𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗶𝘁𝘆 𝗠𝗶𝘅 𝗼𝗻 𝟮𝟳-𝗢𝗰𝘁-𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲 🔥Fossil/Thermal 29% 🌀Wind 66% ⚡Net Imports 1% 💧Hydro 1% ☀️Solar 3.1% ☀️Max Solar 𝟭𝟮.𝟰% (665MW) at 12:​45 🔥Max Fossil/Thermal 𝟰𝟮% at 17:​30 🌀Max Wind 𝟳𝟴.𝟴% at 04:​00 🌀Min Wind 𝟰𝟳% at 17:​30 ⛰Peak Demand 6.52GW at 17:​45

𝗘𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗹 𝗘𝗻𝗲𝗿𝗴𝘆 𝟮𝟳-𝗢𝗰𝘁-𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲 🏭Total Demand = 123.4 GWh ├─ Republic of Ireland = 103.1 GWh └─ Northern Ireland = 20.3 GWh 𝐶𝑜𝑚𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑠𝑒𝑑 𝑜𝑓: 🔥Fossil/Thermal = 36.3 GWh 🌤Renewables (W&S) = 85.1 GWh ⚡Imported = 5.2 GWh └─⚛️Nuclear (from 🇬🇧) ≈ 0.5 GWh ⚡Exported = 3.3 GWh 🌤️ 𝑊𝑖𝑛𝑑 & 𝑆𝑜𝑙𝑎𝑟 𝐶𝑜𝑚𝑏𝑖𝑛𝑒𝑑, 𝑚𝑒𝑡 15.9% 𝑜𝑓 𝐼𝑟𝑒𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑'𝑠 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐹𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝐸𝑛𝑒𝑟𝑔𝑦 𝐷𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑

𝗧𝗼𝘁𝗮𝗹 𝗗𝗶𝘀𝗽𝗮𝘁𝗰𝗵 𝗗𝗼𝘄𝗻 𝗼𝗻 𝟮𝟳-𝗢𝗰𝘁-𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲 𝐷𝑢𝑒 𝑡𝑜 𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑠𝑢𝑝𝑝𝑙𝑦(𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑡𝑎𝑖𝑙𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡) & 𝐺𝑟𝑖𝑑 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑠 🚧SNSP Max = 75.7% 🚧SNSP Max Allowable = 75% 🌀𝗪𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗪𝗶𝗻𝗱 ≈ 19 GWh (💰Value ≈ €6.5 million) ☀️𝗪𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗦𝗼𝗹𝗮𝗿 ≈ N/A GWh (💰Value ≈ N/A)

RT @KathrynPorter26: So there we have it. Probably the highest day ever in the BM at over £52 million The final number tends to be a bit higher than the trading figure reported by LCP This is what Connect & Manage has done... We spent £52 million because we had to throw away wind in Scotland that we built despite knowing we can't use it Plus NESO not curtailing it before the DA auction meaning instead of gas plant self dispatching it has to be bid on in the BM @Miatsf @mgshanks @AndrewBowie_MP @ClaireCoutinho @harrietc @ColinMoynihanUK @drlukeevans @ashley7fox @TiceRichard @cmackinlay @DavidGHFrost @mattwridley @Iromg @AllisonPearson @MerrynSW @EdConwaySky @afneil @mattotele @jonathan_leake @julietsamuel @energygovuk

𝗜𝗿𝗶𝘀𝗵 𝗘𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗶𝘁𝘆 𝗠𝗶𝘅 𝗼𝗻 𝟮𝟲-𝗢𝗰𝘁-𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲 🔥Fossil/Thermal 30% 🌀Wind 71% ⚡Net Exports 1% 💧Hydro 1% ☀️Solar 1.0% ☀️Max Solar 𝟰.𝟭% (222MW) at 11:​45 🔥Max Fossil/Thermal 𝟰𝟱% at 02:​15 🌀Max Wind 𝟳𝟳.𝟵% at 03:​45 🌀Min Wind 𝟰𝟯% at 00:​00 ⛰Peak Demand 6.10GW at 17:​45

𝗘𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗹 𝗘𝗻𝗲𝗿𝗴𝘆 𝟮𝟲-𝗢𝗰𝘁-𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲 🏭Total Demand = 118.8 GWh ├─ Republic of Ireland = 97.6 GWh └─ Northern Ireland = 21.2 GWh 𝐶𝑜𝑚𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑠𝑒𝑑 𝑜𝑓: 🔥Fossil/Thermal = 35.1 GWh 🌤Renewables (W&S) = 85.7 GWh ⚡Imported = 1.5 GWh └─⚛️Nuclear (from 🇬🇧) ≈ 0.2 GWh ⚡Exported = 2.3 GWh 🌤️ 𝑊𝑖𝑛𝑑 & 𝑆𝑜𝑙𝑎𝑟 𝐶𝑜𝑚𝑏𝑖𝑛𝑒𝑑, 𝑚𝑒𝑡 16.6% 𝑜𝑓 𝐼𝑟𝑒𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑'𝑠 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐹𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝐸𝑛𝑒𝑟𝑔𝑦 𝐷𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑

𝗧𝗼𝘁𝗮𝗹 𝗗𝗶𝘀𝗽𝗮𝘁𝗰𝗵 𝗗𝗼𝘄𝗻 𝗼𝗻 𝟮𝟲-𝗢𝗰𝘁-𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲 𝐷𝑢𝑒 𝑡𝑜 𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑠𝑢𝑝𝑝𝑙𝑦(𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑡𝑎𝑖𝑙𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡) & 𝐺𝑟𝑖𝑑 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑠 🚧SNSP Max = 74.6% 🚧SNSP Max Allowable = 75% 🌀𝗪𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗪𝗶𝗻𝗱 ≈ 18 GWh (💰Value ≈ €5.9 million) ☀️𝗪𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗦𝗼𝗹𝗮𝗿 ≈ N/A GWh (💰Value ≈ N/A)

𝗜𝗿𝗶𝘀𝗵 𝗘𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗶𝘁𝘆 𝗠𝗶𝘅 𝗼𝗻 𝟮𝟱-𝗢𝗰𝘁-𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲 🔥Fossil/Thermal 37% 🌀Wind 55% ⚡Net Imports 6% 💧Hydro 2% ☀️Solar 2.5% ☀️Max Solar 𝟭𝟮.𝟰% (585MW) at 12:​30 🔥Max Fossil/Thermal 𝟰𝟯% at 19:​45 🌀Max Wind 𝟲𝟳.𝟲% at 02:​15 🌀Min Wind 𝟯𝟭% at 22:​00 ⛰Peak Demand 5.75GW at 17:​45

𝗧𝗼𝘁𝗮𝗹 𝗗𝗶𝘀𝗽𝗮𝘁𝗰𝗵 𝗗𝗼𝘄𝗻 𝗼𝗻 𝟮𝟱-𝗢𝗰𝘁-𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲 𝐷𝑢𝑒 𝑡𝑜 𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑠𝑢𝑝𝑝𝑙𝑦(𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑡𝑎𝑖𝑙𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡) & 𝐺𝑟𝑖𝑑 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑠 🚧SNSP Max = 69.8% 🚧SNSP Max Allowable = 75% 🌀𝗪𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗪𝗶𝗻𝗱 ≈ 32 GWh (💰Value ≈ €11 million) ☀️𝗪𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗦𝗼𝗹𝗮𝗿 ≈ 1 GWh (💰Value ≈ €0.47 million)

@cormacDublin sorry to bother you, but can you Claude-produce a possible Dispatch Down time profile for this 32GWh.

Energy analysts worth following for critical & honest perspectives on net zero, electricity costs, energy security: @KathrynPorter26 @7Kiwi @aDissentient @I_D_A_U_ @RichardLyon_ and @BjornLomborg And Irish follows; @NiallJBurke and @pulse_carbon

RT @KathrynPorter26: @BusyFooFighting Probably because we're spending massive amounts to balance the grid... £28. 2 million for today already and counting THIS is the cost of net zero. Nobody is rinsing anyone. It's just very hard and very expensive to manage intermittency

Scroll down to the last of the 4 posts to see the damage from storm boelo winds!

𝗜𝗿𝗶𝘀𝗵 𝗘𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗶𝘁𝘆 𝗠𝗶𝘅 𝗼𝗻 𝟮𝟰-𝗢𝗰𝘁-𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲 🔥Fossil/Thermal 29% 🌀Wind 67% ⚡Net Imports 4% 💧Hydro 1% ☀️Solar 0.5% ☀️Max Solar 𝟭.𝟴% (103MW) at 12:​45 🔥Max Fossil/Thermal 𝟰𝟬% at 00:​30 🌀Max Wind 𝟳𝟱.𝟱% at 21:​00 🌀Min Wind 𝟯𝟱% at 00:​15 ⛰Peak Demand 5.78GW at 18:​30

𝗘𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗹 𝗘𝗻𝗲𝗿𝗴𝘆 𝟮𝟰-𝗢𝗰𝘁-𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲 🏭Total Demand = 120.7 GWh ├─ Republic of Ireland = 101.4 GWh └─ Northern Ireland = 19.2 GWh 𝐶𝑜𝑚𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑠𝑒𝑑 𝑜𝑓: 🔥Fossil/Thermal = 34.6 GWh 🌤Renewables (W&S) = 81.3 GWh ⚡Imported = 6.8 GWh └─⚛️Nuclear (from 🇬🇧) ≈ 0.7 GWh ⚡Exported = 1.4 GWh 🌤️ 𝑊𝑖𝑛𝑑 & 𝑆𝑜𝑙𝑎𝑟 𝐶𝑜𝑚𝑏𝑖𝑛𝑒𝑑, 𝑚𝑒𝑡 15.5% 𝑜𝑓 𝐼𝑟𝑒𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑'𝑠 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐹𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝐸𝑛𝑒𝑟𝑔𝑦 𝐷𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑

𝗧𝗼𝘁𝗮𝗹 𝗗𝗶𝘀𝗽𝗮𝘁𝗰𝗵 𝗗𝗼𝘄𝗻 𝗼𝗻 𝟮𝟰-𝗢𝗰𝘁-𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲 𝐷𝑢𝑒 𝑡𝑜 𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑠𝑢𝑝𝑝𝑙𝑦(𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑡𝑎𝑖𝑙𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡) & 𝐺𝑟𝑖𝑑 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑠 🚧SNSP Max = 75.1% 🚧SNSP Max Allowable = 75% 🌀𝗪𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗪𝗶𝗻𝗱 ≈ 15 GWh (💰Value ≈ €5.1 million) ☀️𝗪𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗦𝗼𝗹𝗮𝗿 ≈ N/A GWh (💰Value ≈ N/A)