Matt McDermott✓

@mattmfm

Democratic Strategist • @VictoryFund and @Men_4_Choice Board • SVP @ Whitman Insight Strategies • @dillmitchell Husband

1.8K Following91.8K Followers49.1K Posts
  1. Matt McDermott✓@mattmfm
    An incredible piece of Rhode Island lore.
    Adam Aaronson @aaaronson
    Helena Foulkes will be the first US state governor whose first name is another state's capital since Lincoln Chafee, who was the first since Lincoln Almond All three just so happen to be governors of Rhode Island
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  2. Adam Aaronson✓@aaaronson
    Helena Foulkes will be the first US state governor whose first name is another state's capital since Lincoln Chafee, who was the first since Lincoln Almond All three just so happen to be governors of Rhode Island
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  3. Matt McDermott✓@mattmfm
    No better articulation of how Democrats are feeling after this week.
    wint @dril
    Politic's is back baby. It's good again. Awoouu (wolf Howl)
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  4. wint✓@dril
    Politic's is back baby. It's good again. Awoouu (wolf Howl)
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  5. Matt McDermott✓@mattmfm
    Despite the same tired voices trying to make it happen, approximately 0% of Democrats are sitting at home right now debating the relative electoral value of Abdul El-Sayed versus Bobby Pulido. They’re celebrating a historic, once-in-a-generation electoral tsunami.
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  6. Matt McDermott✓@mattmfm
    Posts @mattmfm
    Would strongly encourage people to stop manufacturing ideological factionalism that simply doesn’t exist among everyday Democratic voters. This party has never been, and will never be, a monolith. Our strength has always from electing Democrats who reflect their communities.
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  7. Matt McDermott✓@mattmfm
    Matt McDermott
    RT @JacobRubashkin: There’s a real irony in Republicans hoping that the late mail votes in Mississippi will rescue Cindy Hyde-Smith — just months after the RNC sued to void Mississippi’s ability to count late-arriving votes and lost at SCOTUS, 5-4.
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  8. Matt McDermott✓@mattmfm
    Under the radar red to blue flips that matter for 2028: officials who run elections + defend them in court 🗳️ Secretary of State flips: GA, IN, OH (+TX via governor appointment) ⚖️ AG flips: GA, IA, TX, KS 🏛️ TX Sup. Court: Dems flipped 4 seats
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  9. Matt McDermott✓@mattmfm
    Great visualization of the issues midterm voters most associated with each party. Voters see Democrats as laser-focused on economic issues that impact their families, while Republicans are disconnected from their everyday struggles. via @blueroseorg
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  10. Matt McDermott✓@mattmfm
    If this election upsets you, I am not sorry.
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    Joe Mitchell @joemitchelliowa
    If this photo upsets you, I am not sorry.
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  11. Joe Mitchell✓@joemitchelliowa
    If this photo upsets you, I am not sorry.
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  12. Matt McDermott✓@mattmfm
    Must watch: Meet Chuck Hubbard, who is set to defeat Virginia Foxx in a safe Trump +18 district in North Carolina. Just a normal guy, he decided to run for office to stand up for his LGBTQ daughter and defend her rights in Trump’s America.
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  13. Matt McDermott✓@mattmfm
    As remaining ballots continue to be counted in Mississippi, Democrat Scott Colom has increased his lead over Cindy Hyde-Smith to 1,138 votes.
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    51461.1K19.6K
  14. Matt McDermott✓@mattmfm
    Don’t threaten us with a good time.
    FactPost @factpostnews
    Mike Johnson: Democrats will turn every committee of Congress into an investigative body. They’ll go after Trump's family, the cabinet, his donors, and friends.
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  15. FactPost✓@factpostnews
    Mike Johnson: Democrats will turn every committee of Congress into an investigative body. They’ll go after Trump's family, the cabinet, his donors, and friends.
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    4.9K1.3K9.1K361K
  16. Matt McDermott✓@mattmfm
    Fox News spent election night warning viewers not to check their 401(k)s today, fear mongering about a market collapse in response to the Democratic landslide. The Dow is up more than 1,500 points today.
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  17. Matt McDermott✓@mattmfm
    Matt McDermott
    RT @brianstelter: I felt a little crazy, or at least way out on a limb, when I said on CNN 📺 Monday that pollsters might have overcorrected after Trump-era polling misses, and thus might be underestimating Democrats’ strength as a result. But that’s what appears to have happened...
    Matt McDermott @mattmfm
    The median national poll projected Democrats winning a D+8 House vote. We’re tracking towards a D+13 margin. That’s a 5-point miss, one of the largest in recent cycles, but this time in Democrats’ favor. Essentially every pollster underestimated Democratic support nationally.
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  18. Matt McDermott✓@mattmfm
    Posts @mattmfm
    The median national poll projected Democrats winning a D+8 House vote. We’re tracking towards a D+13 margin. That’s a 5-point miss, one of the largest in recent cycles, but this time in Democrats’ favor. Essentially every pollster underestimated Democratic support nationally.
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    341310.4K
  19. Matt McDermott✓@mattmfm
    The good news for polling: Pollsters correctly identified the fundamentals of a seismic backlash against Trump. The bad news? The backlash was so enormous that pollsters may have struggled to believe the numbers they were seeing. And that should prompt some introspection.
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  20. Matt McDermott✓@mattmfm
    Posts @mattmfm
    Polling is as much about judgment as it is about statistics. Decisions about weighting, turnout models, and what constitutes a plausible electorate can profoundly shape the final numbers. There’s a danger when expectations about what *should* happen begin overriding evidence of what *is* happening.
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  21. Matt McDermott✓@mattmfm
    Posts @mattmfm
    The lesson isn’t that pollsters should stop exercising judgment. But it’s important to be careful about allowing priors to dictate conclusions. Sometimes the electorate really is undergoing a seismic realignment! And sometimes the most important thing to do is believe the data.
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  22. Matt McDermott✓@mattmfm
    Nowhere did Republican hubris backfire more spectacularly than in North Carolina. They redrew the congressional map twice to lock in power. If current results hold, NC’s House delegation will flip from 10R–4D to 10D–4R. Voters are sick of GOP electoral rigging.
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  23. Matt McDermott✓@mattmfm
    Posts @mattmfm
    It’s literally insane that Democrats are within 2 points of sweeping ALL 14 congressional seats in North Carolina in an election cycle when Republicans rigged the map specifically to expand their delegation advantage to 11–3.
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