English
Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒ
Report

Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒβœ“

@TrueSlazac

ultraliberal neoradical cosmopolitan

4.1K Following61.7K Followers104K Posts
  2. Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒβœ“@TrueSlazac
    Could you imagine if they passed these maps
    Carlos Turcios @Carlos__Turcios
    With Virginia redistricting against Republicans, I propose we pass a 38-0 Texas Republican map and a 28-2 Republican Florida map. Also, pass a law in each state that requires statewide positions to be won by the candidate who wins the most counties. This is how we fight back!
    00051
  5. Carlos Turciosβœ“@Carlos__Turcios
    With Virginia redistricting against Republicans, I propose we pass a 38-0 Texas Republican map and a 28-2 Republican Florida map. Also, pass a law in each state that requires statewide positions to be won by the candidate who wins the most counties. This is how we fight back!
    Download
    974213.2K64.7K
  6. Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒβœ“@TrueSlazac
    Minnesota redder than Kansas and Iowa is a truth supernova if I’ve ever seen one
    AtlasIntel @atlas_intel
    πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ATLAS POLL | US MIDTERMS 2026 US SENATE Democratic candidates lead in all 10 U.S. Senate races surveyed by AtlasIntel, with margins ranging from 2.4pp in Minnesota to 14.9pp in North Carolina. πŸ”΅ North Carolina: Cooper +14.9pp πŸ”΅ Maine: Jackson +9.1pp πŸ”΅ New Hampshire: Pappas +8.1pp πŸ”΅ Ohio: Brown +7.5pp πŸ”΅ Michigan: El-Sayed +7.1pp πŸ”΅ Kansas: Hamilton +7.0pp πŸ”΅ Texas: Talarico +5.9pp πŸ”΅ Alaska: Peltola +5.5pp πŸ”΅ Iowa: Turek +4.1pp πŸ”΅ Minnesota: Flanagan +2.4pp
    632036.2K
  8. Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒβœ“@TrueSlazac
    Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒ
    RT @realPrestonHill: No, Trump +23 Mississippi is not flipping.
    Politics & Poll Tracker πŸ“‘ @PollTracker2024
    Axios: Senate Republicans fear Mississippi is in play Senate Republicans are weighing three last-ditch spending moves that would have been unimaginable six months ago: a cash infusion for Mississippi and even more money for South Carolina and Kansas. "The wall has broken. The enemy is inside the fort," one national Republican political operative told Axios. "We are now fighting hand to hand."
    027049
  9. AtlasIntelβœ“@atlas_intel
    πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ATLAS POLL | US MIDTERMS 2026 US SENATE Democratic candidates lead in all 10 U.S. Senate races surveyed by AtlasIntel, with margins ranging from 2.4pp in Minnesota to 14.9pp in North Carolina. πŸ”΅ North Carolina: Cooper +14.9pp πŸ”΅ Maine: Jackson +9.1pp πŸ”΅ New Hampshire: Pappas +8.1pp πŸ”΅ Ohio: Brown +7.5pp πŸ”΅ Michigan: El-Sayed +7.1pp πŸ”΅ Kansas: Hamilton +7.0pp πŸ”΅ Texas: Talarico +5.9pp πŸ”΅ Alaska: Peltola +5.5pp πŸ”΅ Iowa: Turek +4.1pp πŸ”΅ Minnesota: Flanagan +2.4pp
    Download
    932862.2K274K
  11. Politics & Poll Tracker πŸ“‘βœ“@PollTracker2024
    Axios: Senate Republicans fear Mississippi is in play Senate Republicans are weighing three last-ditch spending moves that would have been unimaginable six months ago: a cash infusion for Mississippi and even more money for South Carolina and Kansas. "The wall has broken. The enemy is inside the fort," one national Republican political operative told Axios. "We are now fighting hand to hand."
    359057194.2K
  14. Kalshi Politicsβœ“@KalshiPolitics
    BREAKING: Democrats are now favored in 5 out of 13 toss-up House races 🟦 MT-01: DEM 57% 🟦 KY-06: DEM 56% 🟦 NY-17: DEM 55% 🟦 PA-01 DEM: 54% 🟦 WI-01: DEM 51% πŸŸ₯ SC-01: REP 51% πŸŸ₯ AL-02: REP 52% πŸŸ₯ CO-05: REP 55% πŸŸ₯ TX-23: REP 55% πŸŸ₯ NC-03: REP 56% πŸŸ₯ ME-02 REP 57% πŸŸ₯ AZ-02: REP 57% πŸŸ₯ FL-27: REP 59%
    Download
    8188724.7K
  17. Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒβœ“@TrueSlazac
    Everyone is talking about the founding fathers having a stroke if they saw a pope voting in US elections, but I also can’t imagine the Catholic Church in 1800 being thrilled to hear a pope would vote in democratic elections in a secular republic
    10421.2K12.4K
  19. Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒβœ“@TrueSlazac
    Really curious how historically Democratic areas (Rust belt, South) shifted blue the most, while ancestrally Republican areas (New England, the Plains) shifted blue the least
    Josh Metcalf @josh_metcalf
    Truly a phenomenal performance. Bayh outran Harris basically everywhere, but really ran up the numbers in working-class suburbs south of Indy and in the ancestrally democratic coalfields in the southwest of the state.
    60662.7K
  20. Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒβœ“@TrueSlazac
    Christian is both extremely chudded and also a legitimately talented forecaster, which ends up being really funny when the two clash and his audience hate him for telling them the truth
    Christian Heiens πŸ› @ChristianHeiens
    My predictions for Senate and Governor.
    29262.3K120K
  22. Josh Metcalfβœ“@josh_metcalf
    Truly a phenomenal performance. Bayh outran Harris basically everywhere, but really ran up the numbers in working-class suburbs south of Indy and in the ancestrally democratic coalfields in the southwest of the state.
    Download
    75945168.8K
  30. Bo Frenchβœ“@bofrench
    Like body-cams exposed criminals, social media is exposing how many Americans have been displaced by foreigners. It’s everywhere and far worse than any of us could imagine.
    Download
    2.1K3.7K28.3K3.3M
  31. Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒβœ“@TrueSlazac
    Frustrating how close dems were to destroy gerrymanders in NC, Texas, Tennessee and more
    Jake Marks @jakemarks42
    Tennessee's new map cracked Memphis into three GOP seats. On the 2024 lines, 2026's House vote would have elected 2 Democrats Old map: 7R-2D New map: 8R-1D, with Dems leading TN-4 by 280 votes and losing TN-9 by 1 pt per @DecisionDeskHQ
    563867.4K
  32. Aaron Ruparβœ“@atrupar
    Don Jr in Ohio: "They want to pack the Supreme Court. They want to make Ohio a state."
    Download
    3.3K2.9K26K6.5M
  34. Jake Marks@jakemarks42
    Tennessee's new map cracked Memphis into three GOP seats. On the 2024 lines, 2026's House vote would have elected 2 Democrats Old map: 7R-2D New map: 8R-1D, with Dems leading TN-4 by 280 votes and losing TN-9 by 1 pt per @DecisionDeskHQ
    Download
    124332851.1K
  37. Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒβœ“@TrueSlazac
    Posts @TrueSlazac
    They did half of it in North Carolina but were a few percentages away from totally beating it Same thing in Indiana and Utah were they probably would have gained more seats if it were gerrymandered
    10761.3K
  38. Austinβœ“@MrAustinPredict
    🚨 As the #1 Predictor in Michigan, I can ASSURE you the El-Sayed / Rogers Michigan Senate Race will be nowhere near an 11 point difference. Thank you!
    32826767.7K
  39. Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒβœ“@TrueSlazac
    Democrats are favored in every single Colorado seat on Kalshi, it's fucking OVER
    Download
    Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒ @TrueSlazac
    A clean sweep for democrats is actually plausible in Colorado, this would be the most beautiful thing ever
    131364215.5K
  40. Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒβœ“@TrueSlazac
    I warned in 2025 that this race should raise alarm bells for the Republican Party, but conservatives dismissed it because it was a special election The fact it had both midterms-level turnout and a 13-points didn’t seem to bother them but clearly it should have
    Download
    12342.4K
  44. Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒβœ“@TrueSlazac
    Right now if every senate elections goes towards the favorite candidate on prediction markets, Democrats get 54(!) seats Keep in mind that’s the MOST LIKELY outcome
    Kalshi Politics @KalshiPolitics
    NEW ALL-TIME HIGH: Josh Turek’s odds to win the Iowa Senate race rise to 49%
    721664.5K
  47. Kalshi Politicsβœ“@KalshiPolitics
    NEW ALL-TIME HIGH: Josh Turek’s odds to win the Iowa Senate race rise to 49%
    Download
    72229244.8K
  49. Mariamβœ“@Gaismair
    the Indiana ballot looks wild man
    Download
    9833614.3K
  53. Kalshi Politicsβœ“@KalshiPolitics
    MIDTERMS HUB RACE RATING CHANGE: Texas Senate: 🟦 Lean D -> Likely D
    Download
    64842.5K1.4M
  61. Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒβœ“@TrueSlazac
    Have you ever heard of the Political Compass? Did you know the original website is designed to make you believe you should support far-left politicians? My latest article is exactly about this! Pls check it out
    1281765.9K
  62. Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒβœ“@TrueSlazac
    No one is talking about this but if Tuesday is a blue tsunami and Trump’s popularity keeps dwindling through 2027 and 2028, we can’t exclude the possibility of a filibuster proof majority in the senate in 2028
    46582K155K
  64. Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒβœ“@TrueSlazac
    The NYT needle felt terribly outdated last Tuesday, races in swing states were called by Votehub and Kalshi before the needle even showed up
    VoteHub @VoteHub
    Our complete forecast, which incorporated Kalshi order books and expert ratings, slightly outperformed our legacy forecast. Final Kalshi markets were more accurate than any individual model in races.
    1272247.4K
  67. VoteHubβœ“@VoteHub
    Posts @VoteHub
    Our complete forecast, which incorporated Kalshi order books and expert ratings, slightly outperformed our legacy forecast. Final Kalshi markets were more accurate than any individual model in races.
    Download
    1222617167K
  73. Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒβœ“@TrueSlazac
    Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒ
    RT @PoliticalKiwi: I'm confused about what evidence Silver has for making these claims. Across the 137 House+Senate+Gov races which I rated competitive, Kalshi prices significantly outperformed his forecast. IDK about who "converged" to who, but the markets were just straight-up more accurate.
    Nate Silver @NateSilver538
    OK, wrote about the models vs. prediction markets debate. Actually, the real stolen valor is from NYT/Siena. But prediction markets converged toward FLIPR/model prices, not the other way around, and the models got to the right answer sooner and more confidently.
    080100
  74. Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒβœ“@TrueSlazac
    Don’t read too much into it, it’s just early votes and doesn’t mean there will be a 15 points shift or something
    VoteHub @VoteHub
    Kentucky U.S. Senate Laurel County – 25% reported: πŸ”΄ Andy Barr – 3,158 (72.8%) πŸ”΅ Charles Booker – 1,104 (25.4%) Results per AP
    112435K
  75. Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒβœ“@TrueSlazac
    I didn’t plan well and most of my days will be like that so if you want to hang out at any point and I know you please DM me
    Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒ @TrueSlazac
    Wandering in Brooklyn with nothing to do, where should I go
    50412.9K
  76. Nate Silverβœ“@NateSilver538
    OK, wrote about the models vs. prediction markets debate. Actually, the real stolen valor is from NYT/Siena. But prediction markets converged toward FLIPR/model prices, not the other way around, and the models got to the right answer sooner and more confidently.
    Download
    44681.3K254K
  77. VoteHubβœ“@VoteHub
    Kentucky U.S. Senate Laurel County – 25% reported: πŸ”΄ Andy Barr – 3,158 (72.8%) πŸ”΅ Charles Booker – 1,104 (25.4%) Results per AP
    1658724165K
  79. Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒβœ“@TrueSlazac
    Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒ
    RT @eva_roytburg: The AI bubble is Popping!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    Download
    Eva Roytburg @eva_roytburg
    REmember, remember, the fifth of november, The pod shops, the leverage, the rout. I see no reason, why NVIDIA profits next season Should bail all you bagholders out
    030111
  80. Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒβœ“@TrueSlazac
    Slazac πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸŒ
    RT @geoffreyvs: With the Conley projection, DDHQ now says that there will be zero, count 'em zero, Republican-held crossover seats won by Kamala Harris in 2024.
    Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ
    Decision Desk HQ projects Cait Conley wins the NY US House 17 General Election #DecisionMade: 9:19 PM EST Follow live results here:
    058084
  82. Eva Roytburgβœ“@eva_roytburg
    REmember, remember, the fifth of november, The pod shops, the leverage, the rout. I see no reason, why NVIDIA profits next season Should bail all you bagholders out
    22416.4K
  83. Decision Desk HQ@DecisionDeskHQ
    Decision Desk HQ projects Cait Conley wins the NY US House 17 General Election #DecisionMade: 9:19 PM EST Follow live results here:
    Download
    89788887.9K
  84. Nate Silverβœ“@NateSilver538
    3rd FLIPR update of the day is in lol
    3045991325K