@convallax
Options on prediction markets | Trade calls and puts on event probabilities Backed by @alliance
Alliance @allianceIntroducing @convallax (ALL17), an options exchange for prediction markets. Traders can buy calls and puts on Polymarket outcomes, taking leveraged positions on how the odds change over a chosen timeframe. Congratulations to @rahul_rai121 and @kushal_mungee on the launch.
Andy @andyyyICYMI: Robinhood made a massive splash with new products and updates yesterday at HOOD Summit. Live now: - Robinhood Agents (AI that researches, builds strategies, and can trade for you) - Agent Apps (plug-ins from ~11 data/tool partners) - Crypto perpetuals (up to 10x on BTC/ETH; 3x on SOL, XRP, DOGE, ADA, LINK, HYPE) - Take profit / stop loss (OCO-style equity orders) - Robinhood Social out of beta for eligible US customers Coming later: - 24/7 weekend equity trading (early next year) - Extended options hours - Intraday buying power (up to 4x) - Earnings experience in-app - Earnings prediction contracts (needs regulatory approval) - Agents + Social on Legend Very bullish day one. $HOOD @RobinhoodApp @therollupco
Tarek Mansour @mansourtarek_We just submitted a regulatory filing to introduce margin on a subset of long-dated prediction markets. This will not apply to sports, culture, and a few other categories. We are very excited to be taking what we believe is our most important step toward institutional adoption so far. Capital efficiency has been the biggest bottleneck for institutions, and margin is the single most requested feature. Fully collateralizing long-dated contracts ties up substantial capital for months or years, making participation impractical for many institutions. It is very difficult for a large institutional market to develop without margin. Margin addresses that problem by reducing capital requirements, subject to strict risk standards. Some important characteristics of our proposal: • Margin applies only to a narrow set of categories, excluding sports and culture. • It is geared toward institutions and subject to strict eligibility requirements. • The risk methodology is modeled on approaches used by established clearinghouses and tested over decades. It incorporates conservative safeguards around volatility, liquidity, concentration, and event risks, as well as measures to limit sharp increases in margin requirements during market stress. The goal is a better trading experience for users. Greater capital efficiency enables more institutional participation, bringing deeper liquidity and better pricing. That makes our markets more attractive to more traders, whose participation further strengthens liquidity and improves the experience for everyone.
munch @munchPRMROptions are this cycles Perpetuals in terms of growth Understand this Think about this Prepare for this
Polymarket Traders @PolymarketTradeWill the Senate advance the CLARITY Act today? This vote could have a major impact on the polymarket "Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?" There’s no consensus among traders: @aenews and @Domahhhh are on the Yes side. A successful vote today would move the bill one step further in the Senate. Meanwhile, tourists, @evan_semet and @MEPPonPM are on the No side, expecting a tougher path for the CLARITY Act.
Leo Adberg @LeoAdbergThere's an opportunity out there for a prediction market that could handle long-term bets with lower cost of capital. Every PM nowadays requires you to fully collateralize your positions, and Kalshi is currently the best offering because they'll give you 3.25% interest on the mark-to-market value of positions. But I can make >3.25% elsewhere so I'd need serious edge to even consider betting on something a year out! Would love to be able post a non-PM asset as collateral to make long term predictions without insane drag.
Andy @andyyyBREAKING: WARSH SAYS THERE IS ONE SIGNAL THE MARKET CANNOT MISS. "We must be confident that underlying inflation is moving towards our objective at a sufficient speed" "I stand here today committed to a discipline, not a decision" HUGE ENDING THERE. WARSH CONFIRMS NO COMMITMENT TO RATE HIKE WHICH IS MASSIVE FOR CRYPTO RALLY CONTINUATION.
ᴛʀᴀᴄᴇʀ @DeFiTracerIMPORTANT: 🇺🇸 FED could hike interest rates by 25 BPS in September Odds of a rate hike jumped to 40.1% for the first time after the inflation data release This is not good for markets...
