emily m✓

RT @cspan: U.S. Senate candidate @AbdulElSayed (D-MI) to opponent Mike Rogers (R-MI): "Enjoy your retirement...you chose hate, and Michigan chose hope. May we never have to see the likes of you in this state again."

This isn’t finished - but it’s a crazy snap shot. The democrat is 28 votes ahead in Mississippi as of 1:50 am EST

Something curious happening in South Carolina - record breaking turn out may not deliver a Democrat flip - but it might push it quite close for the Democrat senate candidate Annie Andrews

First polls closing now in USA midterms ..

Watching for Mitch McConnell old senate seat in Kentucky. And Indiana races too

To see what the share of the vote can tell us about the more competitive races …

RT @mehdirhasan: I can’t believe he actually said this out loud. On Fox. The 2026 midterms summed up in one moment.

Trump: "If people ever got tired of me in the US, I'll move to Israel and become prime minister"

RT @gadi_eisenkot: היחסים המיוחדים עם ארה״ב הם מרכיב מרכזי בביטחון הלאומי של ישראל. העובדה שמערכת הביטחון מגלה יחד עם אזרחי ישראל על שינוי במארג היחסים האסטרטגי דרך התקשורת, מצביעה עד כמה התנהלותו של בנימין נתניהו היא סכנה אמיתית. אי אפשר עוד לסמוך עליו וחייבים להחליפו. פעם נוספת שראש ממשלת ישראל לא מסוגל להסתכל לאזרח הישראלי בעיניים ולומר אמת. נתניהו חייב לתת תשובות, עוד הערב, לאזרחי ישראל.

RT @gadi_eisenkot: שבוע טוב. מספר דברים ממני אליכם, אחיי ואחיותיי הישראלים, לקראת הימים הקרובים: ספירת הקולות הסתיימה והבחירות נגמרו. בכל דרך בה מסתכלים על המספרים, רוב אזרחי ישראל, בהפרש של יותר מחצי מיליון קולות, הצביעו נגד ממשלת השבעה באוקטובר וההשתמטות, ובעד שינוי - רוב בקרב כלל אזרחי ישראל, ורוב בקרב הציבור הציוני המשרת. הגדרתי את הבחירות הללו בשנה האחרונה כגורליות ביותר בתולדות ישראל ותוצאותיהן ברורות, אף שיש מי שפועל להטיל בהן דופי. הבטחתי לחבר מחדש את ישראל ולשים סוף לתרבות השקר שהוביל נתניהו ופירקה אותנו מבפנים. הבטחתי שתחת הנהגתי, צד א׳ לא יכריע את צד ב׳, שתם עידן ״אנחנו״ ו״הם״. לאור הבטחות אלה אמשיך לפעול גם בשבועות הקרובים. במקביל, בכוונתי לפעול למימוש הרוב הפרלמנטרי המובהק באופן מיידי, לטובת כלל אזרחי ישראל. לפעול להקמת ועדת חקירה ממלכתית, קידום חובת שירות לכל ופעולה מיידית להגדלה וחיזוק היקף המשרתים בצה"ל, תגמול והוקרה ראויה למשרתים, ביטול חוקי ההפיכה המשטרית ועוד. אל תתנו לאף אחד להטעות אתכם: במדינת ישראל הכנסת היא שנותנת את אמונה בממשלה, ולא להפך. במהלך קמפיין הבחירות הצבתי מטרה להקים ממשלה ציונית ממלכתית עם הסכמה לאומית רחבה ככל האפשר שתביא לריפוי ושינוי יסודי בכיוון אליו ישראל הולכת. הצבתי באופן עקבי 4 עקרונות שיחזקו את ישראל, לכל שותפות: 1.⁠ ⁠הכרה בישראל כמדינה יהודית, דמוקרטית, ליברלית ושוויונית. 2.⁠ ⁠מחויבות לערכי מגילת העצמאות. 3.⁠ ⁠חובת שירות לכלל אזרחי ישראל - צבאי, לאומי ואזרחי. 4.⁠ ⁠הכרה בחמאס כארגון טרור ובחובה להשמדת הכוח הצבאי-שלטוני שלו ברצועת עזה. על בסיס עקרונות אלו, בכוונתי להקים ממשלה ציונית וממלכתית, רחבה ככל האפשר. לצורך כך אפעל בתיאום עם שותפיי ואפעל להרחיב את השותפות, על מנת לממש את רצון הבוחרים ולשפר באופן מיידי את מצבה הפנימי והבינלאומי של מדינת ישראל. כל חבר כנסת שמוכן לחתום על עקרונות אלו, הוא שותף אפשרי בדרך לכינון ממשלה חדשה וטובה לישראל. דלת הממשלה שנקים תהייה פתוחה לכל נבחר ציבור שמקבל את עקרונות אלו ונכון להתעלות לגודל השעה. ברור כי אחוזי ההצבעה הגבוהים, כמו גם האתגרים שעל הפרק, מחייבים מאמץ עילאי על מנת להימנע מבחירות נוספות וכניסה למשבר פוליטי מתמשך נוסף בכל דרך. ב-27.10 הציבור אמר את דברו וההחלטה על הרכבה של ממשלת ישראל הבאה היא של אזרחי ישראל בלבד, ללא מעורבות ומניפולציה - כך ראוי שיהיה. כעת מוטלת עלינו, נבחרי הציבור, החובה לעשות הכל על מנת לתרגם את רצון העם. מחדל השבעה באוקטובר ובהמשכו המציאות הביטחונית, הפנימית, הכלכלית והבינלאומית מחייבים החלטות אמיצות ובהקדם. אפעל בכל דרך להביא הסכמה לאומית רחבה ככל האפשר על מנת שנוכל להתחיל בתיקון ושיקום. לסיום, המלחמה נגד אויבינו לא תמה. מטרות המלחמה לא הושגו. עד להקמת הממשלה אתן גיבוי למהלכים צבאיים רק במידה ויהיו איומים ישירים ומיידיים כנגד ישראל שלא יכולים להמתין עד להשבעת הממשלה. לא נשלה את עצמנו. אנו בפני שבועות עמוסים, מורכבים ועתירי ספינים ושקרים.  בכוונתי לפעול באומץ ומתוך מחויבות גדולה לבוחר ולמדינה על מנת לממש את רצונו - בשקט וביצירתיות. נעשה ונצליח, למען כולנו ולמען מדינת ישראל. אני מתחייב.

RT @Samfr: Very good last set of polls from YouGov for the Democrats: N Carolina: +11 Maine: +5 Texas: +4 Michigan: +4 Kansas: +1 Nebraska: even

New post: My epic guide to the midterms. Can the Democrats take the House and Senate? Analysis of all the key races. Timings for watching on the night. Resources to follow along and intepret the votes as they come in. Plus my predictions.

Mid interview with a democratic candidate in Dearborn , Michigan we suddenly learn that @HaleyforMI has screwed her own party - jumped ship to support Trumps man for the senate over the Democrats and @AbdulElSayed

RT @VanJones68: Something is going horribly wrong in the Senate race in Michigan. And I am going to keep calling it out. On the one hand, the Republicans are conducting a campaign of blatant anti-Muslim fear mongering. Mike Rogers, Donald Trump and the rest of the GOP need to knock it off. Mike needs to personally and repeatedly denounce hate against Muslims. But now, at the same time, we have TWO ads from the Democratic side that ALSO traffic in hate and intolerance — causing alarm for some Black and Jewish voters. Seriously— WTF ???? The first ad was from Rebellion PAC (NOT the official Abdul El-Sayyed campaign). It suggested that Americans can’t buy groceries because the USA sends so much money to Israel. That is a lie. The USA spends less than 00.1 percent of our federal budget on support for Israel. But this ad pretends bananas cost too much because the Jewish state is bleeding us dry. TOTALLY nuts. And yet — this kind of thinking has always put Jewish lives at risk. Blaming Jews for everyone’s economic problems has a long, bloody history. Abdul did try to separate himself from the ad. He accurately noted that his campaign didn’t produce it. But the problem is: if you listen, Abdul actually NEVER DENOUNCED the CONTENT of the ad. He never said, “This ad is wrong.” He just said, “Hey, it wasn’t me.” 😬😬😬 That ad — and Abdul’s refusal to forthrightly denounce it — is scaring some Jewish Democrats in Michigan, who now are more reluctant to vote for him. In other words, that one ad alone is jeopardizing our party’s shot at taking back the U.S. Senate. BUT IT GETS WORSE! Then Abdul’s formal, official campaign put out its OWN ad — which features none other than the vile and contemptible Tucker Carlson (!!!). As you know, Tucker Carlson is a rabid, anti-Black bigot who also traffics in anti-Jewish stereotypes. He is anathema to most Black people and most Jews. No Democrat should ever celebrate the words of a white nationalist who actively undermines the safety of Black people and Jewish people. Moreover, given the importance of Black and Jewish Democrats to our victory in Michigan, the decision to include Tucker Carlson in any Democratic ad there is truly baffling. Why am I speaking out about this now? Because I want Democrats to build a winning coalition — now and into the future. Chasing off any Black or Jewish voters is a path to defeat — both in the short term and the long term. As proud Democrats, it can feel uncomfortable or risky to speak against intolerance in our own party, especially just days before a national election. It would be easier for us to let this stuff slide, shut up and close ranks. But that would make us hypocrites. For 10 years, we Democrats have watched with dismay and disgust as Republicans (who know better) have refused to challenge ANY bad ideas or bad actions in their own ranks. As a result, their party curdled into a cult — one that is now wrecking the country AND falling apart. As Democrats, we should not make the same mistake. Anti-Muslim hate is wrong. Period. Anti-Jewish hate is wrong. Period. Tucker Carlson’s white nationalism is wrong. Period. All candidates in Michigan need to say that clearly— and then pull down/denounce any ads that normalize hate or elevate hate mongers.

RT @AnshelPfeffer: It goes without saying that on a historic election night for the Arab voters, in which they’ve elected an unprecedented number of MKs, Netanyahu has just totally disregarded them as equal citizens. But that was to be expected. What’s more disappointing (though sadly not very surprising) is that the Jewish opposition leaders didn’t make any gesture in their speeches to the Arabs either, and spoke of a “Zionist” government. They deserve to lose to Netanyahu.

RT @AmitSegal: Last night, the exit polls told one story: Netanyahu had lost, but it wasn’t clear who on the other side had won. This morning, the results are telling another. Netanyahu hasn’t won yet, but the change bloc has clearly lost. I’ve covered politics since the start of the century. I have never seen a camp organize for an election as impeccably, as efficiently and as energetically as the change bloc did. It signed model surplus-vote agreements, so that no leftover votes would go to waste, and ran an unprecedented operation flying Israelis home from abroad to vote. And by the actual count, it ended up with more or less the same number of seats as in the last election. Demography beat energy, and the message also proved flawed and unsuccessful. The public wasn’t convinced that the war had been a total victory, as Netanyahu claimed, but it also refused to buy the opposition’s claim that it was a total failure. It was repelled by Haredi draft-dodging, but didn’t think the solution was a minority government propped up by draft refusers and anti-Zionists. It was disgusted when ultra-Orthodox protesters chanted “We do not believe in the rule of the Zionists,” but it was just as shocked when “Biladi, Biladi,” the Palestinian national anthem, was sung at the Joint List’s headquarters last night. Netanyahu’s position changed completely between the release of the exit polls and the arrival of the real results. Last night it seemed clear that Knesset Speaker Amir Ohana, a Likud loyalist, would be ousted and that, one way or another, Gadi Eisenkot, the former IDF chief of staff, would form a minority government. Now, by the criteria Eisenkot himself set, he has lost the legitimacy to form such a government. He promised he wouldn’t rely on the Arab parties’ votes, yet without a majority he would now need the active support of the Joint List, which looks futile and pointless. In post-October 7 Israel, there is no chance that a coalition including six candidates who lost immediate family to Hamas could last long alongside Joint List lawmakers who claim Hamas is simply a charitable organization. After the 1967 war, Defense Minister Moshe Dayan famously said Israel was waiting for the Arabs to call. In the same spirit, Netanyahu in effect told the change camp before dawn: here’s my phone number, feel free to use it. Yisrael Beiteinu’s Avigdor Lieberman, former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett and Eisenkot now face a dilemma from hell. They can go to another election, one that Israelis abroad will no longer fly home for. They can try to join Netanyahu’s bloc on tough terms, breaking their campaign pledges never to sit with him. Or they can beg the Islamist Ra’am and the Joint List, now drunk on their success, for support. And one final note: for the entire campaign, we searched for a third bloc, a centrist unity bloc between Netanyahu and his rivals. Candidates included Benny Gantz and former UN Ambassador Gilad Erdan, former general Ofer Winter and economist Yaron Zelekha, former Culture Minister Hili Tropper and who even remembers who else. They all collapsed, evaporated or vanished. And now it turns out the unity bloc may have been the Arab parties all along. Their historic, almost hysterical turnout, at rates that will need careful examination, shattered both sides’ dreams of a 61-seat majority. It reminded Jews on both sides that, after years of division, they may have to learn to sit together after all.

RT @TeamTalaricoHQ: BREAKING: Texas Republicans announce they will “Pass on Paxton”: “I truly believe that he is the most corrupt politician Texas has ever seen.” “To send Ken Paxton to the United States Senate is adding another gator to the swamp.” “James Talarico is by far — without a doubt — the best person in the race for the US Senate.”

RT @zackbeauchamp: If Israel's current exit polls hold, the parties representing the Jewish center will have to make a choice: partner with Arab parties or else keep Bibi in power. A pretty clear metaphor for the choice facing Israel more broadly.

RT @yaakovkatz: Two takeaways based on exit polls: First, neither camp has a a clear path to forming a coalition. That leaves us with a simple but unavoidable conclusion: for Israel to have a government in the coming weeks, someone is going to have to break a campaign promise. It could be Eisenkot deciding to form a government with the support of Ra’am, the Arab party led by Mansour Abbas. It could be Bennett, Liberman or even Eisenkot deciding to cross the partisan line and join a government with Netanyahu. The second takeaway is that a decisive majority of Israelis are opposed to Netanyahu and want to see him out of office. Based on projections, approximately 70 seats voted for parties - Jewish and Arab - committed to ousting Netanyahu. That does not mean all 70 support Eisenkot or that they can necessarily sit together in one government. But it does mean that Netanyahu and his coalition have lost the support of a majority of the electorate.

Israel BREAKING: It appears that Netanyahu’s call to arms on election day got voters out to vote for his Likud party at the expense of his coalition partners on the harder right. He’s increased his party’s share - but cannibalised his own bloc for power

BREAKING: Israeli elections First exit polls suggest a very bad night for Likud / Netanyahu. Dropped seats since last election But still an uphill struggle for opposition Yashar party to get a coalition together

RT @BrandonPresley: For those watching Mississippi, know that the only county left of the counts you are seeing is Holmes County. That county has an 85% African-American population. Hold tight, folks. I won Holmes County 4,918 to 834. @scott_colom will carry it even bigger.