TradeLean✓

$BTC went into Fed day with the floor still intact. Monday’s low was 79,260 and Tuesday’s was 79,384. Both bounced just above the weekly S0.382 at 79,169. Now it’s back over 80,297. The gate is the pivot at 81,346. A 4H close above it puts 82,394 in play before Sunday. If it closes below 79,169, I’m wrong.

$GOLD October lows: 3,975.65 and 3,978.18. Monthly S 0.702: 3,978.80. That's the floor, found to the dollar. With three sessions left in October, I'm watching 4,107 (S 0.382) into the monthly close. A daily close under 3,975.65 and I'm wrong.

Sunday I said $SPX was walking down to 7,582–7,607. It got to 7,612. Five points short. Then it bounced off the Q4 pivot (7,617.78) for the second week in a row. New map: above 7,618, the next test is 7,810. Fed today.

$GOLD is already back above its weekly pivot. $SILVER isn't. Not yet. It dipped to 52.67 on Tuesday, under S 0.382, and bounced to 54.42. The pivot is at 55.18. Silver usually follows gold with a lag. Is this the catch-up?

What I'm watching on $ETH: 2 days boxed in 2,293–2,358. The weekly pivot at 2,379.65 hasn't been touched all week. With ETH/BTC sliding and BTC on its October floor, I'd bet on the box breaking lower: 2,286, then the 2,188–2,229 zone.

Friday: $USDJPY breaks under its weekly S 0.382 to 156.08. Tuesday: back at 157.95, +1.2% off the low, above the 157.18 pivot. That breakdown was a trap. Next stops 158.15, then 158.75 into the BoJ.

Nasdaq 100 check: • Friday low 28,841, 5 pts under weekly S 0.382. Held. • +2.9% since, back above the 29,273 pivot. • Overhead: the weekly R 0.702 zone (29,963–30,151) with the October monthly pivot at 30,041 sitting inside it. That's where I think this relief rally is headed. #NASDAQ $QQQ

4 days left in October. $BTC opened the month at 83,555. Now ~80,700, after four straight days on the same floor: 79,146 → 79,691 → 79,260 → 79,384. A floor tested every day gets thinner. My lean: 77,190 before the monthly close, unless we get a daily close back above 81,950.

Dollar up. Yields near 5%. $GOLD up 1.1% anyway. Friday 3,975.65, Monday 3,978.18: a double bottom just above weekly S 0.382. Now it's back above the 4,054 pivot. Hold that into Wednesday's Fed and 4,094 is next.

The kiwi got shaken out Monday: down to 0.56696, still above the weekly S 0.382 at 0.56641. By Tuesday it was back at 0.5701. $NZDUSD Base case: last week's high at 0.57103 breaks and the R 0.702 zone from 0.57247 is next. Does 0.5710 go this week?

Platinum touched its Q4 pivot once, at 1,729, ten dollars above it. Then four lower weekly closes: 1,673, 1,619, 1,537.5, and about 1,508 now. #platinum Base case: the S 0.702 zone from 1,485. Gold is still holding its yearly shelf, so this one is platinum-specific. Buyers above 1,485?

$NFLX is on the last support of its 2026 yearly map. October's low of 62.86 is 41 cents above S 0.786 (62.45). Below that, the next yearly level is S1 at 51.32. September was the first monthly close under 71.19. Base case: 51 by year end. Does the last floor hold?

$DOT is back under a dollar. Weekly closes: 1.256, 1.118, 1.029. Now 0.991, below $1 and below the weekly S 0.382 at 1.009. Base case: the S 0.702 zone at 0.932–0.964 this week. Is $1 gone for now?

The Nikkei hit 70,798 on Oct 6, above its October R1. Today it closed at 62,189, about 12% lower, at the bottom of the S 0.702 zone. Base case: the zone gives way and S1 at 61,196 gets tested before October ends. #Nikkei Floor here, or 61K?

$ETH is losing to Bitcoin every week this quarter. ETH/BTC weekly closes: 0.03152, 0.03029, 0.02937, 0.02908. About 8% down since Q4 began. Base case: S 0.382 at 0.02861 breaks and 0.0262–0.0272 is next. $BTC Does ETH win ground back, or not yet?

$TSLA topped at 388.56, 388.84 and 388.86 in October. Three knocks, all closed back below 387.81. Today it gapped up and ran to 397.27, up almost 6%. Base case: the old ceiling becomes a floor and 403.46 (monthly R1) is next. Real breakout or fake-out?

$SOL weekly highs: 122.08, 113.40, 109.20, and 102.73 this week. Four weeks, four lower highs. Today it stopped 34 cents under the 103.07 weekly pivot. Base case: 99.03 breaks and the 94.76–96.54 zone is next. Does the streak break this week?

$AAPL has been glued to 342.96, its October R 0.382. 5 of the last 8 daily closes landed within about a dollar of it. Friday it spiked to 351.73, 41 cents into the R 0.702 zone, and got pulled right back. Base case: drift back toward the 329 pivot. Was that the October top?

USD/CAD hit its Q4 R 0.382 twice in October: 1.42992, then 1.42998. Neither week closed above it. Three lower weekly closes later it's sitting on the S 0.184 zone near 1.40. Base case: that gives way and 1.3879 is next. $USDCAD One more bounce, or lower?

AUD/USD closed last week two pips off its high. The lows since Oct 15: 0.6894, 0.6955, 0.6994, 0.7026. Four higher lows in a row. It's sitting on its weekly R 0.184 zone. Base case: that holds and 0.7062 is next. $AUDUSD Fifth higher low this week?