Werner Zagrebbi✓

Razib Khan 🧬 ✍️ @razibkhan

The Elephant @ElephantMag_

"The future demands fresh and strange ideas." Elephant editor @panickssery on what The Elephant wants to commission: growth, politics, AGI, demographics. Pitch him👇

The Elephant @ElephantMag_

"The future demands fresh and strange ideas." Elephant editor @panickssery on what The Elephant wants to commission: growth, politics, AGI, demographics. Pitch him👇

@timnitGebru (@dair-community.social/bsky.social) @timnitGebru

One of the most disgusting things about the eugenicist, IQ obsessed, racist and sexist Effective Altruist movement is that their shield, their justification is “we help Africans.” Not a new playbook friends. That’s what your colonizer predecessors said.

Dean W. Ball @deanwball

some bangers for all the rugheads out there

Werner Zagrebbi @zagrebbi

Sailer on wokeness as a symptom and vector of mental illness

tylercowen @tylercowen

My very good Conversation with Richard Hanania, most of all about Joseph Conrad.

Kelsey Piper @KelseyTuoc

@timnitGebru I donated about $45k last year, mostly to malaria net distributions and seasonal malaria chemoprevention. If this is not improving the lives of the affected people, I will obviously donate somewhere different this year. What's your recommendation.

໊ @AntiFemLord

I wonder if this dude knows about his girlfriend’s past. damn, poor guy lmao.

Wæs 🍂 @watchingspirals

Nicholas Decker @captgouda24

Are there any questions out there in econometrics which remain unsolved?

Luke Tress @luketress

A man filed a $50 million lawsuit against the New York Times because it didn't label the Gaza war a genocide, causing him to cry himself to sleep

Dwarkesh Patel @dwarkesh_sp

The master biographer reflects at 91. The Robert Caro interview. 0:00:00 – How Caro gets people to talk 0:05:03 – Does America need a little more Moses today? 0:12:42 – Moses the young idealist 0:17:57 – Watching Moses lose power 0:24:01 – Did Moses realize he was changing? 0:27:53 – Building during the Great Depression 0:32:51 – The threats and promises of Lyndon Johnson 0:36:08 – Could Kennedy have passed Johnson’s laws? 0:41:00 – Getting a book down to one sentence 0:46:21 – All the material that never made it into the books 0:52:59 – Loneliness

Sheel Mohnot @pitdesi

@zagrebbi How predictive is SAT score at college GPA?

JD Vance @JDVance

One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up. So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us." Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026. There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true. But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone. Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were: 1) End the war 2) Focus on cost of living/inflation 3) Put America First 4) Change our relationship to Israel Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.) In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you. The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night. If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest. But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there. I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.

Baltimore Orioles @Orioles

While only 13% of the trans population in the United States is estimated to be Black, 73% of known trans homicide victims were Black women.