Nathaniel Rakich@baseballot
Wondering when to expect election results tonight? Votebeat has a state-by-state guide:
263730.1K
Nathaniel Rakich
@baseballot
Managing editor @VotebeatUS. Previously senior editor and senior elections analyst @FiveThirtyEight. Email, don't DM: nrakich at votebeat dot org
2.9K Following75K Followers84.5K Posts
- Nathaniel Rakich@baseballotNathaniel RakichRT @ZacharyDonnini: VoteHub obtained North Carolina’s list of voters with provisional ballots still to be counted from the State Board of Elections office. They are heavily Democratic and could help Democrats hold NC-05 and flip NC-03.02750215
- Nathaniel Rakich@baseballotNathaniel RakichRT @Taniel: Big: Kris Kobach, the Kansas attorney general, one of the country’s most notorious far-right figures who charted the way for Trump’s election denialism well before Trump got to it, has lost his reelection bid. Democrat Chris Mann will be new Kansas attorney general, AP calls.01.4K0251
- Nathaniel Rakich@baseballotNathaniel RakichRT @SamBlum3: Emmanuel Clase's attorney also asked the judge to limit her questions to witnesses, concerned it's aiding the prosecution. The judge said she knows little about baseball. She's been asking for clarification on basics. Today she asked "Are Detroit and White Sox the same thing?"0430303
- Nathaniel Rakich@baseballotGood explainer on how many votes might still be outstanding in #MSsen (and why it’s so hard to figure out):42311622.6K
- Nathaniel Rakich@baseballotNathaniel RakichRT @MississippiSOS: ❗️Midday Update❗️ ▪️9,242 affidavits processed ▪️74 counties submitted unofficial results in SEMS ▪️3,139 outstanding mail-in absentee ballots 🗳️Track your ballot:0600303
- Nathaniel Rakich@baseballotNathaniel RakichRT @JackieGRosa: Fun fact: not only is @PulidoForTexas the biggest overperformer of the cycle, he’s also going for his THIRD Latin Grammy next week 🤠Jackie Rosa @JackieGRosa@PulidoForTexas pulled off a 43 point swing, the biggest of any Republican-held seat in the country0390294
Posts @PulidoForTexas@PulidoForTexas pulled off a 43 point swing, the biggest of any Republican-held seat in the country8146907116K- Nathaniel Rakich@baseballotNathaniel RakichRT @PoliticsReid: At least 17 women will hold governor's offices when Tuesday's winners are sworn in, the highest number ever. No elected woman governor has lost a bid for re-election since Ann Richards in 1994 (h/t @jaredleopold for that bit of trivia) -060306
- Nathaniel Rakich@baseballotColorado voters have rejected Amendment 86, a Republican-backed measure that would have made it harder for Democrats to circumvent the state's independent redistricting commission to gerrymander.4121887.7K
- Nathaniel Rakich@baseballotNathaniel RakichRT @gelliottmorris: I just posted this analysis of the @50plus1news model vs the prediction markets. Not only is @NateSilver538 correct and @mansourtarek_ wrong about the performance of the models vs markets over the cycle, the models were actually more accurate on Elec Day 2Chris Hayes @chrislhayesI am 100% Team Nate in this beef. It’s *obvious* to anyone paying attention that the betting markets just moved over time towards the models. That’s the info they were working off of! They didn’t “discover” anything0330239
I am 100% Team Nate in this beef. It’s *obvious* to anyone paying attention that the betting markets just moved over time towards the models. That’s the info they were working off of! They didn’t “discover” anythingNate Silver @NateSilver538Give me a break, the polls and models provided the direction in contast to vibes and dumb insiders. And yes it's good that traders were smart enough to trust them. But the better election models were more confident about the outcome than the markets and got there more quickly.552467.2K300K- Nathaniel Rakich@baseballotThis photoAlexander Shur @AlexanderShurWisconsin’s election laws are likely about to change now that Democrats have control from state government. Here’s what the top Dems on elections have to say about that, and what clerks/Republicans’ message to the new majority is:108913.4K
Alexander Shur@AlexanderShurWisconsin’s election laws are likely about to change now that Democrats have control from state government. Here’s what the top Dems on elections have to say about that, and what clerks/Republicans’ message to the new majority is:3168622.7K- Nathaniel Rakich@baseballotNathaniel RakichRT @aaaronson: Helena Foulkes will be the first US state governor whose first name is another state's capital since Lincoln Chafee, who was the first since Lincoln Almond All three just so happen to be governors of Rhode Island01260321
- Nathaniel Rakich@baseballot.@ercovey and the folks @CookPolitical are out with their invaluable House popular vote tracker: It's already at D+12.3, and CA is still counting!21194.1K
- Nathaniel Rakich@baseballotEveryone knows how long it takes to count mail votes in CA. But Shasta County—which is run by Republicans, btw—is still counting its *Election Day votes*!5201958K
- Nathaniel Rakich@baseballotNathaniel RakichRT @JBSDC: More signs Dems position in rust belt is weakening. This is NOT what you want to see in an epochal D+13 national wave. We’re about to see a race over what happens first in a neutral year: the major sun belt states lean blue or the former Midwest “blue wall” states lean red.Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesiasIn @lennybronner's math OVER ONE HUNDRED PERCENT of the blueshift in Michigan and Minnesota came from turnout!!!0260311
Posts @mattyglesiasIn @lennybronner's math OVER ONE HUNDRED PERCENT of the blueshift in Michigan and Minnesota came from turnout!!!
161718954.6K- Nathaniel Rakich@baseballotNathaniel RakichRT @grace_panetta: It's official: in deep-blue Washington, a K-12-aged public school girl who wants to play on a sports team will now have to have her sex at birth verified "through either genetic or hormone tests or an examination of her reproductive anatomy" firstDecision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQDecision Desk HQ projects Yes wins the WA Initiative Measure No. IL26-638 Sex Verification Requirements for Female School Sports Nonpartisan Ballot Question #DecisionMade: 9:04 PM EST Follow live results here:0210311
Decision Desk HQ@DecisionDeskHQDecision Desk HQ projects Yes wins the WA Initiative Measure No. IL26-638 Sex Verification Requirements for Female School Sports Nonpartisan Ballot Question #DecisionMade: 9:04 PM EST Follow live results here:
1238260119K- Nathaniel Rakich@baseballotNathaniel RakichRT @MorganTrau: I just asked Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine about possible Republican efforts to take away or lessen the powers of the governor prior to Gov-elect Dr. Amy Acton taking office in January. I asked if he would veto. “No governor would sign.” @WEWS @WCPO @OhioCapJournal02040324
- Nathaniel Rakich@baseballotArizona Prop 144 has failed, per the AP. The measure would have required proof of identity to vote by mail, among other election law changes.0101097.8K
- Nathaniel Rakich@baseballotFunny how no one complains about the speed of California's vote-counting when we aren't waiting for the results of a bunch of House races there!262163433.2K
- Nathaniel Rakich@baseballotNathaniel RakichRT @kkondik: Following Paul LePage's (R) victory in ME-2 (Trump +9.1 points), that district appears set to go from the reddest district held by any D (Jared Golden), to the BLUEST seat held by any R. Crazy and illustrative of the wipeout calculated thanks to @downballotnews data01900265
- Nathaniel Rakich@baseballotAP: Progressive Nithya Raman has won the Los Angeles mayoral race, defeating incumbent Karen Bass.011669.1K
