Kirk A. Bado

@kirk_bado

Journalist and political analyst @njhotline || Contributor @noosphereapp || Early riser || The player to be named later || [email protected]

  • Washington, DC
  • Joined
3.3K Following10.5K Followers42.9K Posts
  1. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    We have a super exciting day at Hotline—Our Insider's Guide to the Midterms is LIVE!! This interactive report features: 📈 Updated ranking of House, SEN, GOV races most likely to flip 🗺️ Map of 2028 wannabe travel 🕰️ Poll closing guide 💰 Breakdown record setting campaign cash
    Download
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  2. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    Kirk A. Bado
    RT @Redistrict: Fact: 84% of the House districts Dems are on track to flip this year contain a Cracker Barrel, and just 59% are home to a Whole Foods. By contrast, 67% of the districts Dems flipped in 2018 contained a Whole Foods, and just 56% were home to a Cracker Barrel.
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  3. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    Kirk A. Bado
    RT @_SarahGTaylor: Some news here: We have the list of four finalists for Marsha Blackburn’s Senate replacement, and by extension, we know several who are not in the running:
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  4. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    Trump says he asked Dana White to be his new press secretary
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  5. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    Wouldn’t you know not, Robert Pattinson is on this list too
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  6. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    Kirk A. Bado
    RT @DanLamothe: Loomer announced on her show that she is stepping away roughly one hour after The Washington Post contacted her this, @drewharwell and @ScottNover report.
    Dan Lamothe @DanLamothe
    Trump ally Loomer was paid thousands for political tweets, people familiar say
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  7. Dan Lamothe✓@DanLamothe
    Posts @DanLamothe
    Trump ally Loomer was paid thousands for political tweets, people familiar say
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  8. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    Kirk A. Bado
    RT @daveweigel: I've seen versions of this cope and they all ignore how many seats Dems started with. The "smart take" was that it would be hard for them to crack 230 bc they had so many swing seats already - Rs entered the cycle with just two members in districts won by Kamala. The biggest GOP House majority since the New Deal was the 2014 majority of 247 seats. Dems have already zoomed past that. And their big New Deal era majorities relied on Solid South conservatives who were replaced by Rs long ago. A majority of this size, where the most conservative member is Henry Cuellar (a pro-life Hispanic who's otherwise a normal liberal), is brand new.
    Olivia @tradingchik
    Clinton lost 54 seats in the 1994 midterm election. Obama lost 63 seats in the 2010 midterm election. Trump just lost 41 seats in the 2026 midterm election. It’s not exactly the historic event you believe it to be.
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  9. Olivia✓@tradingchik
    Clinton lost 54 seats in the 1994 midterm election. Obama lost 63 seats in the 2010 midterm election. Trump just lost 41 seats in the 2026 midterm election. It’s not exactly the historic event you believe it to be.
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  10. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    Kirk A. Bado
    RT @baseballot: Good explainer on how many votes might still be outstanding in #MSsen (and why it’s so hard to figure out):
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  11. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    Great breakdown from @schelzig on how the Tennessee GOP gerrymander cost Rep. Scott DesJarlais his seat in this cycle's biggest stunner
    Download
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  12. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    Posts @kirk_bado
    For more of Erik’s great coverage, subscribe here:
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  13. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    In a similar vein, there’s a movement to draft me into having a beer later tonight. But as I’ve said many times before, I am not currently drinking a beer.
    Jonathan Allen @jonallendc
    2028 NEWS… EXCLUSIVE… “RUN RO” DRAFT COMMITTEE LAUNCHES California congressman’s allies start laying the groundwork for a presidential campaign on his behalf. @RepBowman & @NomikiKonst serve as co-chairs.
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  14. Jonathan Allen@jonallendc
    2028 NEWS… EXCLUSIVE… “RUN RO” DRAFT COMMITTEE LAUNCHES California congressman’s allies start laying the groundwork for a presidential campaign on his behalf. @RepBowman & @NomikiKonst serve as co-chairs.
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  15. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    Kirk A. Bado
    RT @ercovey: the biggest swings left were in majority Hispanic TX districts this cycle: TX-28 (Cuellar): +47 pts TX-15 (Pulido): +43 pts TX-09 (Leticia Gutierrez): +35 pts TX-29 (Garcia): +30 pts
    Jackie Rosa @JackieGRosa
    @PulidoForTexas pulled off a 43 point swing, the biggest of any Republican-held seat in the country
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  16. Jackie Rosa✓@JackieGRosa
    Posts @PulidoForTexas
    @PulidoForTexas pulled off a 43 point swing, the biggest of any Republican-held seat in the country
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  17. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    Who let the 🦮 out?
    Justin Robert Young @JustinRYoung
    The blue dogs are back. @kirk_bado
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  18. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    Think a Mitt Romney-type is going to emerge from the GOP field in 2018? As Rick Pitino said "Larry Bird isn't walking through that door!"
    CSPAN @cspan
    Political strategists @CharlieCookDC, @kirk_bado, and @dcdufour discuss potential GOP presidential candidates in 2028
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  19. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    Kirk A. Bado
    RT @Alex_Roarty: Montana Democrats drank the bar dry at the old Florence Hotel in Missoula before midnight on Tuesday. Sam Forstag’s election night watch party had turned into a victory blowout. The next morning, many of those partygoers woke up tired, hungover and disappointed.
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  20. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    What two weeks and an historic wipeout does to a WH
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  21. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    Kirk A. Bado
    RT @zachblackburn23: Sort of the opposite of 2022, when abortion-related ballot measures also helped Democrats in their races
    David Weigel @daveweigel
    Hundreds of thousands of Washingtonians voted for Dems then voted for a trans sports ban. Having that option on the ballot let voters separate their policy preference from their R/D vote. MGP's opponent ran on his support for the initiative - it passed in her district while she flattened him.
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  22. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    After Tuesday, the reddest district in the country represented by a Democrat is now the bluest district represented by a Republican. And it isn’t actually blue at all.
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  23. David Weigel✓@daveweigel
    Hundreds of thousands of Washingtonians voted for Dems then voted for a trans sports ban. Having that option on the ballot let voters separate their policy preference from their R/D vote. MGP's opponent ran on his support for the initiative - it passed in her district while she flattened him.
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  24. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    The bitter 2028 Dem primary fights have started
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  25. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    Kirk A. Bado
    RT @Redistrict: NEW @CookPolitical: our 2026 House vote tracker is live. With almost 112 million votes counted, Dems' national lead is 12.3% and growing.
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  26. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    Kirk A. Bado
    RT @zachblackburn23: AP just called CA-11, Nancy Pelosi’s district, for state Sen. Scott Wiener (D). Pelosi had endorsed San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan (D); Wiener had angled to be her successor for years. Voters eschewed Pelosi’s endorsement, maybe a signal of continued wariness of Dem leaders
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  27. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    I've seen more Dems fighting over who gets credit than Republicans over who gets the blame
    David Weigel @daveweigel
    This is the funniest post-election discourse I can remember. Every Dem won so the fighting is about whose historic W margin was more historic. I’m seeing chair-throwing fights about whether Roy Cooper would have gotten as much applause at CrookedCon as Abdul El-Sayed.
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  28. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    Kirk A. Bado
    RT @ReporterOriana: 🎙️ *taps mic* is this thing on?? @washingtonsun is looking for a White House reporter, a politics reporters and a Congress reporter! i cannot stress enough how much i love this newsroom come work with me:
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  29. David Weigel✓@daveweigel
    This is the funniest post-election discourse I can remember. Every Dem won so the fighting is about whose historic W margin was more historic. I’m seeing chair-throwing fights about whether Roy Cooper would have gotten as much applause at CrookedCon as Abdul El-Sayed.
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  30. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    Kirk A. Bado
    RT @zachblackburn23: In @njhotline today, a roundup of various takes on mid-cycle redistricting, including near-disasters for the GOP in Indiana + SC and whether Republicans will be worse off with these maps in the long run:
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  31. Kirk A. Bado@kirk_bado
    Kirk A. Bado
    RT @jpelzer: Gov. @MikeDeWine, when asked what he thinks about Jon Husted's ass. "Well, you know, when I look at Jon, that's not where I look." DeWine added, "I will say this - I was with him with him the other night, and he's got plenty of muscles here. I'm talking about..." (taps biceps)
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